Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Betting Preview

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Starlin Castro and the Miami Marlins will head north to Nationals Park to face their divisional rival Washington Nationals. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the matchup. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Odds

Miami (+130) is hosting this game as the underdog against Washington (-140) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. There’s a runline of Marlins +1.5 (-170) and Nationals -1.5 (+150) for this matchup.

The Nationals are only 19-31 straight up (SU) and 20-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.8 units for moneyline bettors and 11.7 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Marlins have gone 16-31 SU this year and are 20-26 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 7.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 11.9 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Washington games have had an over/under record of 25-21-3 so far in 2019. The Marlins have an over/under record of 20-25-1.

Pablo Lopez will get the nod for Miami. The right-handed Lopez (3-5, 5.06 ERA) has racked up 49 strikeouts in 48 innings so far. This will be his first outing against Washington this year. He did make two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 0-1 record with a 7.59 ERA and six strikeouts.

The Nationals will deploy righty Kyle McGowin (0-0, 6.00 ERA) to the mound. McGowin has three punchouts and one walks as well as a 1.33 WHIP. McGowin only made one start against the Marlins in 2018 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and four strikeouts across four innings).

Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.01 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.26 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.98, along with a WHIP of 1.27.

The Marlins offense has slashed .221/.285/.320 on its way to 2.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led Miami’s offense. Castro is slashing .227/.272/.287 with three home runs, 12 RBIs and 12 runs scored. Anderson (.229/.308/.343) is up to four homers, 16 RBIs and nine runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 5.2 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.89, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.2. The bullpen has a 7.02 ERA, 1.64 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 24 games against NL East opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.72 and the bullpen’s ERA is 8.09.

The Washington hitters have produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .241/.311/.416 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that span.

The Nationals’ batters have been led by outfielder Adam Eaton and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Eaton is slashing .273/.338/.379 with four home runs, 12 RBIs, 26 runs and five stolen bases, while Rendon’s line sits at .321/.416/.656 with nine homers, 27 RBIs and 33 runs.

The Marlins have lost 6.3 units and are 14-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, as opposed to 21 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 12.8 units and are 16-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 20 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under.

Marlins vs. Nationals Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • Miami has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Washington has 16 XBH over its last five.
  • The Nationals have dropped six of their last seven games SU.
  • Washington has posted 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.6 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • The Marlins have a total OPS of .605 this season and an OPS of .603 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS sits at .723 overall and .678 against righties.