Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Miami Marlins will play the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. This NL showdown starts at 1:05 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on either ATPT or FSFL.

Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Miami (+145) is the underdog to Pittsburgh (-155) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this day game at 8.5 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Marlins +1.5 runs (-150) and Pirates -1.5 runs (+130).

The Pirates are 70-71 straight up (SU) and 67-73 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 2.0 units for moneyline bettors and 12.8 units (ATS). On the other hand, the Marlins have gone 56-85 SU this year and are 73-67 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 1.5 units for moneyline bettors and 8.4 units ATS.

Pirates games have a 62-69-9 over/under record in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 70-66-4.

The left-handed Wei-Yin Chen will get the nod for Miami. Chen is 6-9 with a 4.64 ERA and 92 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Pirates will put the ball in the right hand of Ivan Nova (7-9, 4.35 ERA), who has 96 strikeouts and 29 walks this season as well as a 1.29 WHIP. Nova is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 4.05 ERA in one start against Miami this year.

As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.04 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.97 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.

The Pittsburgh hitters have produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .259/.295/.411 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Pirates’ batters have been led by outfielders Starling Marte and Corey Dickerson. Marte is hitting .278/.322/.455 with 18 home runs, 63 RBIs, 71 runs and 31 stolen bases, and Dickerson’s line is .290/.319/.451 with 11 homers, 46 RBIs and 56 runs.

In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.42 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.64 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.29, along with a K-per-9 of 8.00.

Marlins hitters have slashed .241/.308/.362 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s offense. Castro is slashing .288/.338/.411 with 11 home runs, 51 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Anderson (.271/.355/.395) is up to 10 homers, 58 RBIs and 77 runs scored.

The Marlins have gained 1.7 units and are 53-53 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 51 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 6.8 units and are 18-22 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 24 of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.

Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in three of Miami’s last seven games.
  • Miami has recorded 19.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.2 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit six over their last 10.