The Philadelphia Phillies are playing host to their division rival Miami Marlins at Citizens Bank Park. Fox SportsNet Florida will televise the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Miami (+165) is entering this game as the underdog against Philadelphia (-175) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Marlins +1.5 runs (-135) and Phillies -1.5 runs (+115).
The Phillies are 58-46 straight up (SU) and 50-57 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 10.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 15.2 units (ATS). Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Marlins have gone 45-61 SU this year and are 58-51 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 4.5 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 5.0 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 47-55-5 in 2018. Miami has been a decent over bet with a total record of 57-50-2.
Trevor Richards is the projected starter for the visiting Marlins. Richards is 3-5 with a 4.06 ERA and 71 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).
The Phillies are sending righty Nick Pivetta (6-9, 4.85 ERA) to the mound. Pivetta has 134 punchouts and 32 walks to his name, as well as a 1.33 WHIP. Pivetta is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.85, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.94 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 39 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.54 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.37.
The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .242/.303/.510 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Phillies’ hitters have been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .273/.328/.464 with 19 home runs, 58 RBIs and 53 runs scored, and Hernandez is batting .269 with eight homers, 35 RBIs, 66 runs and 14 stolen bases.
For the visitors, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.57 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.72 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.15, along with a K-per-9 of 8.22.
Marlins hitters have slashed .244/.313/.365 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s offense. Castro is slashing .287/.336/.406 with eight home runs, 40 RBIs and 62 runs scored. Anderson (.283/.363/.413) is up to eight homers, 49 RBIs and 60 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 6.7 units and are 40-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve gone under against y starters.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER