Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Philadelphia Phillies will play host to the Miami Marlins at Citizens Bank Park. The matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox SportsNet Florida.

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Miami (+155) is entering this game as the underdog against Philadelphia (-165) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the games total stand at -115 for the under and -105 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the odds standing at -140 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +120 for the Phillies -1.5.

The Phillies are 60-48 straight up (SU) and 51-57 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 11.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 14.1 units (ATS). The Marlins are 46-64 SU and have gone 58-52 ATS. Overall, the teams gained 3.5 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 6.3 units ATS.

Philadelphia games have a 47-56-5 over/under record in 2018. The Marlins have been a decent over bet with a total record of 57-51-2.

Jose Urena is getting the nod for Miami. The right-handed Urena (3-10, 4.40 ERA) has racked up 98 strikeouts in 118.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 4.91 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).

The Phillies are sending righty Zach Eflin (7-3, 3.64 ERA) to the mound. Eflin has 72 strikeouts and 18 walks to his name, as well as a 1.17 WHIP. Eflin is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Miami this year.

Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The clubs starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.80, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.84 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 40 games against divisional opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.53 and the bullpens ERA is 4.28.

The Philadelphia offense has put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over its last five. The teams hit .223/.303/.326 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Odubel Herrera has helped lead the Phillies offense this year with 19 home runs, 58 RBIs and 53 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.58 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.68 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.14, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K-per-9 of 8.18.

The Marlins offense has slashed .244/.312/.365 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Starlin Castro has sparked Miami’s offense and is slashing .287/.334/.402 with eight home runs, 40 RBIs and 62 runs scored.

The Phillies are looking for another victory after a 5-2 win in the prior game of the series.

Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in five of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
  • The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 20 over their last 10.
  • Miami has recorded 19.2 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.0 over its last five.