Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Free Pick Game 1

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The Miami Marlins are set to face off against the New York Mets at Citi Field in Game 1 of a NL East doubleheader. The matchup will begin at 4:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will be televising the game.

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Odds

The Marlins have gone 57-86 SU this year and are 73-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 11.1 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 65-78 SU and 70-71 ATS. They’ve lost 11.5 units for moneyline bettors and 7.6 units ATS. New York has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

New York games have an over/under record of 63-70-8 in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 70-67-5.

Trevor Richards will get the start for the visiting Marlins. Richards is 3-8 with a 4.73 ERA and 105 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mets are putting the ball in the right hand of Zack Wheeler (10-7, 3.39 ERA, 1.17 WHIP), who has 168 strikeouts and 52 walks this season. Wheeler is 2-1 with 24 strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA across three starts against Miami this year.

Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.40 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.67 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.29, along with a WHIP of 1.30 and a K-per-9 of 8.00.

The Marlins offense has slashed .240/.307/.362 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Miami’s offense has been sparked by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .286/.337/.410 with 11 home runs, 51 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Anderson (.272/.357/.399) is up to 10 homers, 59 RBIs and 79 runs scored.

For the home team, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.78 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.01 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 60 games against NL East opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.67 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.05.

New York’s hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .246/.330/.449 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Mets’ batters have been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and right fielder Michael Conforto. Rosario is hitting .254/.295/.382 with seven home runs, 43 RBIs, 66 runs and 18 steals, and Conforto’s line is .236/.341/.427 with 24 homers, 64 RBIs and 67 runs.

The Marlins have lost 0.3 units and are 53-55 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over’s hit in 51 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve hit the under against y starters.

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • Miami has tallied 14 extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 18 XBH over its last five.
  • Miami has posted 18.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.6 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.