Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Milwaukee Brewers are seeking their fourth win in a row they play host to the Miami Marlins at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be airing this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Vegas has listed Milwaukee (-160) as the favorite over Miami (+150). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 9.5 runs and +100 for under 9.5. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -145 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and +125 for the Brewers -1.5.

The Marlins are only 5-13 SU and are 6-11 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.7 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 6.2 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 11-9 SU and 10-9 ATS. The team’s gained 1.6 units for moneyline bettors while earning 0.1 units ATS.

Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 8-11 so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 10-7.

Trevor Richards will get the start for the visiting Marlins. Richards is 0-1 with a 4.70 ERA and nine strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Brewers are sending righty Jhoulys Chacin (0-1, 5.60 ERA) to the mound. Chacin has 11 strikeouts and 10 walks to his name, as well as a 1.92 WHIP. Chacin did not record a start against the Marlins in 2017.

Milwaukee’s pitching staff has yielded 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.12, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.1. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.00, a WHIP of 1.17 and a K/9 of 10.4.

The Milwaukee offense is putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .247/.341/.383 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Eric Thames has helped lead the Brewers’ offense this year with seven home runs, 11 RBIs and 10 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.36 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.42 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.70, along with a K/9 of 9.79.

Marlins hitters have slashed .225/.300/.312 on their way to 3.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Miami’s offense has been led by Miguel Rojas. Rojas is slashing .282/.338/.408 with 20 hits, four RBIs and seven runs scored. He did not seem to enjoy hitting against right-handed pitchers on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .250/.328/.306 across 122 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .290/.361/.375).

The Brewers are coming off a 12-3 victory in the prior game of this series.

Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in five of Miami’s last seven games.
  • The Marlins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 14 over their last 10.
  • Miami has posted 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.8 over its last five.