Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

The streaking Milwaukee Brewers are searching for their fifth straight win as they play host to the Miami Marlins at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will broadcast this NL matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Miami (+160) is hosting this one as the underdog against Milwaukee (-170) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). The games runline odds stand at -135 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and +115 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.

The Brewers are 12-9 SU and 11-9 ATS. They’ve gained 2.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.0 unit against the spread (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins have gone 5-14 SU this year and are 6-12 ATS. In total, the teams lost 3.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 7.5 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Brewers games have had an over/under record of 9-11 so far in 2018. Marlins games have gone over 11 times, gone under seven times and pushed on zero occasions.

Jose Urena is getting the nod for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Urena is 0-3 with a 5.57 ERA and 18 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 3.86 ERA and three strikeouts across 4.2 innings).

The Brewers are planning to start lefty Brent Suter (1-2, 4.87 ERA), who’s got 15 strikeouts and five walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.38. Suter did not record a start against the Marlins in 2017.

Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The clubs starters have an ERA of 3.89, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.1. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.89, a WHIP of 1.17 and a K/9 of 10.6.

Milwaukee’s hitters are putting up 4.0 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over their last five. The teams hit .284/.389/.481 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Eric Thames and Lorenzo Cain have paced the Brewers batters so far. Thames is hitting .250/.354/.679 with seven home runs, 12 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Cain is batting .304 with 21 hits, seven RBIs and 12 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 6.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.64 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 7.62 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.63, along with a WHIP of 1.56.

The Marlins offense has slashed .223/.299/.305 on its way to 3.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.2 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).

Third baseman Brian Anderson and first baseman Justin Bour have led Miami’s offense. Anderson is hitting .235/.373/.338 with 16 hits, 10 RBIs and nine runs scored, while Bour (.224/.307/.418) is up to 15 hits, four homers, 11 RBIs and six runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 1.1 units and are 1-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in two of those games, as opposed to two that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 2.5 units and are 8-6 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in six of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under.

Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Marlins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 16 over their last 10.
  • Milwaukee has posted 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.0 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have lost five of their last six games SU.