Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Matchup

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The Miami Marlins are preparing to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers in a Sunday matinee. Spectrum SportsNet LA will broadcast this NL matchup and the action gets going at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Los Angeles (receiving -295 odds) is the huge favorite against Miami and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). The game’s runline odds stand at +120 for betting the Marlins +1.5 runs and -140 for the Dodgers -1.5.

The Dodgers are 66-35 straight up (SU) and 47-53 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 12.8 units for moneyline bettors while earning 5.2 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Marlins have gone 36-60 SU this year and are 49-46 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 3.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.5 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 47-46-7 in 2019. Miami has been a decent under bet with a total record of 41-48-6.

The right-handed Jordan Yamamoto is getting the nod for the visiting Marlins. Yamamoto is 4-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Dodgers are turning to righty Walker Buehler (8-1, 3.44 ERA), who has 120 strikeouts and 17 walks, in addition to a 1.00 WHIP. Buehler made two starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 0-0 record in 2018, putting together a 0-0 record with a 3.60 ERA and 12 strikeouts.

As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has given up 3.9 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 2.98, a WHIP of 1.03 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

The Los Angeles hitters are putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 7.1 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .250/.360/.536 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner have led the charge for the Dodgers’ hitters this year. Bellinger is slashing .332/.433/.691 with 34 home runs, 77 RBIs, 79 runs and nine steals, while Turner’s line sits at .294/.374/.472 with 13 homers, 40 RBIs and 55 runs.

In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.98 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.26 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.88, along with a WHIP of 1.28.

Marlins hitters have slashed .240/.300/.362 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Miami’s offense has been fueled by second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas. Castro is slashing .250/.277/.359 with eight home runs, 41 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Rojas is hitting .281/.337/.352 with one homers, 29 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 2.8 units and are 32-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have netted 10.8 units and are 36-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve cashed the under.

Marlins vs. Dodgers MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in four of Miami’s last seven games.
  • The Marlins have a total OPS of .662 this season and an OPS of .656 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Dodgers’ OPS stands at .821 overall and .831 against righties.
  • The Marlins have dropped three of their last four games SU.
  • Miami has posted 21.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.2 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 26 over their last 10.