Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Miami Marlins are set to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. The game gets underway 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will showcase this NL matchup.

Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Los Angeles (-250) is favored over Miami (+225) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Marlins +1.5 runs (+100) and Dodgers -1.5 runs (-120).

The Marlins are only 5-17 SU and have gone 7-14 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 9.2 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 11-10 SU and 8-12 ATS. The team’s lost 6.1 units for moneyline bettors and 4.2 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 11-9 so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 12-9.

Dillon Peters is getting the nod for the visiting Marlins. The left-handed Peters is 2-2 with a 6.98 ERA and 12 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Dodgers are handing the ball to righty Kenta Maeda (2-1, 3.77 ERA), who has 24 strikeouts and five walks, as well as a 1.74 WHIP. Maeda did not record a start against the Marlins in 2017.

Los Angeles’ pitching staff has yielded 3.9 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.20, a WHIP of 1.10 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.0. The bullpen has a 3.72 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

Los Angeles’ hitters have produced 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .263/.344/.444 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Catcher Yasmani Grandal and outfielder Matt Kemp have paced the Dodgers’ offense so far. Grandal is slashing .328/.423/.552 with three home runs, 16 RBIs and 11 runs scored, and Kemp’s line is .321/.361/.536 with three homers, 10 RBIs and seven runs.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .276/.318/.463, Kemp did not perform very well against lefties at home last year, producing .256/.347/.326 across 49 plate appearances.

For the visitors, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.33 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.08 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.59, along with a K-per-9 of 10.42.

The Marlins offense has slashed .223/.299/.305 on its way to 3.2 runs scored per game this season, including 3.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).

Third baseman Brian Anderson and first baseman Justin Bour have led Miami’s offense. Anderson is slashing .256/.389/.359 with 20 hits, 12 RBIs and nine runs scored, while Bour (.237/.318/.421) has produced 18 hits, four homers, 13 RBIs and seven runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 4.5 units and are 5-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in nine of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 0.3 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in one of those games, as opposed to five that’ve cashed the under.

Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine games SU while the Dodgers have won seven of their last eight SU.
  • Miami has posted 18.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.0 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.