Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Miami Marlins will be taking on the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast this NL matchup and the first pitch will be at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Miami (+135) as the underdog to Arizona (-145). The total is sitting at 9 runs and bettors can take the over for -115 or the under for -105. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -160 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +140 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Marlins are just 20-38 SU and have gone 28-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.3 units for moneyline bettors and 7.8 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 30-27 SU and 26-30 ATS. They’ve gained 2.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.8 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Arizona games have a 25-29-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 28-29.

Right-hander Dan Straily is getting the nod for the visiting Marlins. Straily is 2-1 with a 3.69 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.50 ERA and nine strikeouts across six innings).

The Diamondbacks are sending righty Matt Koch (3-3, 4.31 ERA) to the mound. Koch has 25 punchouts and 13 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Koch did not pitch in the majors in 2017.

Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.55 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.77 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.72, along with a WHIP of 1.29.

Marlins hitters have slashed .234/.301/.348 on their way to 3.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.0 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the teams last five contests (0-5 SU).

Miami’s offense has been powered by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .287/.324/.395 with three home runs, 24 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .287 with two homers, 25 RBIs and 30 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 3.5 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.85 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.46, a WHIP of 1.09 and a K/9 of 7.9.

Arizona’s offense is putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 7.2 per game over its last five. The teams hit .276/.348/.583 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Left fielder David Peralta and second baseman Ketel Marte have led the Diamondbacks batters this year. Peralta is hitting .263/.332/.444 with nine home runs, 26 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Marte’s line is .224/.281/.353 with three homers, 16 RBIs and 20 runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 4.0 units and are 19-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, as opposed to 22 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 5.2 units and are 15-21 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under.

Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine games SU while the Diamondbacks have won four of their last five SU.
  • Miami has recorded 20.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.4 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.