Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Miami Marlins will be taking on their division rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The matchup will begin at 1:35 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will be televising the game.

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Vegas is listing Miami (-125) as the favorite over Philadelphia (+105). Bettors can wager on the games total with odds sitting at -120 for over 7.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 7.5. You can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds standing at Marlins +1.5 runs (+175) and Phillies -1.5 runs (-185).

The Marlins are 2-6 SU and have gone 2-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline this year and 3.5 units ATS. The Phillies are 3-4 SU and 1-5 ATS. The team has lost 2.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.1 units ATS.

Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 2-3-1 thus far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 3-4.

The Marlins have lost 0.1 units and are 1-2 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in one of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under in such games.

Trevor Richards (0-1, 10.38 ERA) will get the nod for Miami. Richards did not accumulate any MLB pitching stats in 2017.

The Phils have tabbed righty Jake Arrieta as their starter. Arrieta struck out 163 hitters in 168 innings last year (with 55 walks). Arrieta finished the season 14-10 overall with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. He made two starts against Miami a year ago and compiled a 2-0 record with a 2.08 ERA and eight strikeouts.

Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The teams starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.41, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 5.27 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.6 K/9. In seven divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.27.

The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 5.6 runs per outing, including 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .242/.339/.400 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Rhys Hoskins and third baseman Maikel Franco have led the Phillies hitters this year. Hoskins is slashing .435/.533/.739 with 10 hits, six RBIs and six runs scored, and Franco’s line is .316/.409/.789 with six hits, 11 RBIs and four runs.

In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 6.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 6.75 ERA, 1.77 WHIP and 8.92 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.93, along with a WHIP of 1.77 and a K-per-9 of 8.87.

Marlins hitters have slashed .216/.297/.279 on their way to 3.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

Miami’s hitters have been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is slashing .281/.410/.438 with nine hits, six RBIs and six runs scored, while Castro is hitting .314 with 11 hits, four RBIs and four runs scored.

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Marlins went 8-11 SU against the Phillies last season.
  • The Marlins have lost five of their last six games SU.
  • The Phillies bullpen recorded 3.17 ERA against the Marlins last year.