Miami Marlins at New York Yankees Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Miami Marlins will face the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. This interleague matchup will get underway at 6:35 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will broadcast the game.

Miami Marlins at New York Yankees Odds

Vegas has listed Miami (+240) as the underdog to New York (-275). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -120 for over 8.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at +110 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and -130 for the Yankees -1.5.

The Yankees are 8-7 SU and 8-7 ATS. The team’s lost 1.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.1 units against the spread (ATS). The Marlins, on the other hand, have gone 4-12 SU this year and are 5-11 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 5.3 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 7.4 units ATS.

New York games have a 10-4-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 9-7.

Jarlin Garcia will get the start for the visiting Marlins. The left-handed Garcia is 0-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 11 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Yankees will turn to righty Masahiro Tanaka (2-1, 5.19 ERA) to the mound. Tanaka has 18 strikeouts and two walks to his name, as well as a 1.04 WHIP. Tanaka did not record a start against the Marlins in 2017.

Miami’s pitching staff allowed 6.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.56 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 7.65 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.19, along with a WHIP of 1.51 and a K-per-9 of 9.55.

Marlins hitters have slashed .223/.297/.302 on their way to 3.1 runs scored per game this year, including 2.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Miami’s hitters have been powered by shortstop Miguel Rojas and third baseman Brian Anderson. Rojas is slashing .302/.353/.444 with 19 hits, four RBIs and six runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .254 with 15 hits, 10 RBIs and eight runs scored.

Rojas didn’t perform especially well against right-handed pitching on the road last season. Over 122 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .250/.328/.306 (his overall season line was .290/.361/.375).

In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 5.2 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 4.46 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.48 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 13.4 K/9.

The New York hitters have produced 5.9 runs per outing, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 6.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .289/.373/.517 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Yankees’ batters have been led by shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge. Gregorius is hitting .327/.446/.796 with five home runs, 16 RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Judge’s line is .351/.479/.614 with four homers, 11 RBIs and 15 runs.

Compared to his total season slash line of .287/.317/.478, Gregorius did not do as well hitting against lefties at home last year, slashing .289/.309/.382 over 81 such plate appearances.

The Marlins have lost 4.2 units and are 4-8 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 3.0 units and are 4-1 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to one that went under the total.

Miami Marlins at New York Yankees Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in four of Miami’s last seven games.
  • The Marlins have lost six of their last seven games SU.
  • The Miami defense has allowed five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 11 errors for New York over its last 10.
  • The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 13 over their last 10.