Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Miami Marlins will head north to square off against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be televising this NL showdown and the first pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Miami (+182) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-195). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds listed at -120 for over 9 runs and even money (+100) for under 9. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds coming in at Marlins +1.5 runs (-120) and Brewers +-1.5 runs (+100).

The Brewers are 10-9 SU and 9-9 ATS. They’ve gained 0.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.6 units against the spread (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins are 5-12 SU and have gone 6-11 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.7 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 6.2 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Milwaukee games have an 8-10 over/under record so far in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 10-7.

The southpaw Dillon Peters is the probable starter for Miami. Peters is 2-1 with a 6.75 ERA and eight strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 19.64 ERA and four strikeouts across 3.2 innings).|

The Brewers are handing the ball to righty Chase Anderson (1-1, 2.82 ERA), who has 18 strikeouts and seven walks, as well as a 0.99 WHIP. Anderson did not record a start against the Marlins in 2017.

Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.7 runs per game and its starters own a 5.23 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.40 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.04, along with a WHIP of 1.49 and a K/9 of 9.97.

The Marlins offense has slashed .228/.302/.309 on its way to 3.5 runs scored per game this year, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Miami’s hitters have been led by shortstop Miguel Rojas and third baseman Brian Anderson. Rojas is slashing .299/.356/.433 with 20 hits, four RBIs and seven runs scored, while Anderson (.246/.387/.361) is up to 15 hits, 10 RBIs and nine runs scored.

Rojas did not do especially well against righty pitching on the road in 2017, putting up a slash line of .250/.328/.306 across 122 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .290/.361/.375).

In the home-team dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.14, a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 10.6.

Milwaukee’s hitters have put up 3.4 runs per outing, including 3.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .224/.298/.335 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Eric Thames and Jesus Aguilar have led the Brewers’ batters this year. Thames is hitting .231/.322/.673 with seven home runs, 11 RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Aguilar’s line is .375/.464/.458 with nine hits, zero RBIs and five runs.

Compared to his total season slash line of .247/.359/.518, Thames seemed to take a step back when hitting lefty pitching at home last year, slashing .188/.304/.438 over 56 such plate appearances.

The Marlins have lost 1.6 units and are 5-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in eight of those games, as opposed to five that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 1.0 units and are 2-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to three that went under.

Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Milwaukee has posted 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.4 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 11 over their last 10.