Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves are set to host their division rival Miami Marlins at SunTrust Park. The game gets underway 1:35 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will be televising the matchup.

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Miami (+170) is coming into this one as the underdog to Atlanta (-180) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Runline odds stand at -130 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and +110 for the Braves -1.5.

The Braves are 27-17 SU and 27-16 ATS. They’ve gained 11.9 units for moneyline bettors and 11.7 units against the spread (ATS). The Marlins are 17-28 SU and have gone 23-21 ATS. In total, the teams gained 0.5 units for moneyline bettors in this young season, but have lost 1.6 units ATS.

Braves games have an over/under record of 20-20-3 so far in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 21-23.

Southpaw Wei-Yin Chen will get the nod for the visiting Marlins. Chen is 1-2 with a 7.56 ERA and nine strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Braves will send righty Julio Teheran (4-1, 3.49 ERA) to the mound. Teheran has 43 strikeouts and 21 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.16. Teheran made two starts against the team in 2017, posting a 1-1 record in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record with a 3.75 ERA and seven strikeouts.

Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.37 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.41 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 27 divisional games, Braves starters have an ERA of 2.80 and the bullpens ERA is 2.51.

Atlanta’s hitters have produced 5.3 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .225/.331/.411 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Braves offense has been led by Freddie Freeman, who is hitting .317/.427/.567 with nine home runs, 34 RBIs and 31 runs scored. Freeman did not seem to enjoy hitting against left-handed pitching at home last season, slashing .222/.275/.397 across 69 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .307/.403/.586).

In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.66 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.70 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.56, along with a WHIP of 1.35 and a K-per-9 of 9.30.

The Marlins offense has slashed .228/.298/.337 on its way to 3.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

Miami’s hitters have been paced by Justin Bour, who is slashing .242/.383/.462 with nine home runs, 23 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

The Braves just took the previous game in this series by a score of eight runs to one.

Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in four of Atlanta’s last seven games.
  • The Marlins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 16 over their last 10.
  • Miami has averaged 19.1 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 17.8 over its last five.