Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants Free Pick

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The San Francisco Giants are playing host to the Miami Marlins at Oracle Park. NBC Sports – Bay Area is in line to broadcast this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 10:15 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

Vegas has listed Miami (+130) as the underdog to San Francisco (-140). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over 8.5 runs and -115 for under 8.5. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -170 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and +150 for the Giants -1.5.

The Marlins have gone 51-95 SU this year and are 72-73 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 15.7 units for moneyline bettors and 12.0 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Giants, on the other hand, are 70-77 SU and 74-72 ATS. The team’s gained 9.0 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 15.4 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

San Francisco games have an over/under record of 71-66-9 in 2019. The Marlins have an over/under record of 69-65-11.

Right-hander Sandy Alcantara is the probable starter for the visiting Marlins. Alcantara (5-12, 4.04 ERA) has racked up 131 strikeouts in 171.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against San Francisco this year.

The Giants will turn to righty Tyler Beede (4-9, 5.33 ERA), who’s got 96 punchouts and 43 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.58. Beede is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Miami this year.

San Francisco’s pitching staff has yielded 4.8 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.80, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 3.92 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

San Francisco’s hitters have put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 2.9 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .202/.253/.276 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Giants’ batters have been led by Kevin Pillar and Brandon Belt. Pillar is slashing .268/.295/.459 with 21 home runs, 79 RBIs and 75 runs scored, and Belt is batting .230 with 16 homers, 56 RBIs and 71 runs.

For the visiting squad, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.55 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.26 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.10, along with a WHIP of 1.28 and a K/9 of 9.27.

The Marlins offense has slashed .240/.300/.370 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s hitters. Castro is slashing .267/.296/.420 with 19 home runs, 78 RBIs and 59 runs scored. Anderson is slashing .261/.342/.468 with 20 homers, 66 RBIs and 57 runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 14.2 units and are 51-57 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 48 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 9.6 units and are 56-47 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 51 of those games, compared to 44 that went under.

Marlins at Giants MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Miami has tallied 12 extra-base hits over its last five contests. San Francisco has seven XBH over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit six over their last 10.
  • The Marlins have an OPS of .670 this season and an OPS of .654 against right-handed pitchers. The Giants’ OPS sits at .702 overall and .692 against righties.
  • Miami has posted 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.8 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have lost six of their last seven games SU while the Giants have lost four of their last five.