Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are playing host to the Miami Marlins at Dodger Stadium. This NL showdown will get going at 9:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Spectrum SportsNet LA to catch the game.

Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Miami (+250) is the underdog to Los Angeles (-295) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at +120 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and -140 for the Dodgers -1.5.

The Marlins have gone 36-59 SU this year and are 48-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.0 units for moneyline bettors and 7.7 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 65-35 SU and 47-52 ATS. They’ve gained 11.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.7 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 47-45-7 in 2019. The Marlins have been a decent under bet with a total record of 41-47-6.

Sandy Alcantara will get the start for the Marlins. The right-handed Alcantara is 4-9 with a 3.94 ERA and 76 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Dodgers will turn to lefty Clayton Kershaw (8-2, 3.00 ERA), who’s got 98 strikeouts and 18 walks, along with a 1.05 WHIP. Kershaw only made one start against the Marlins in 2018 (0-1, 5.40 ERA and seven strikeouts across five innings).

As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitchers have yielded 3.9 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 3.01, a WHIP of 1.04 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 4.14 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

Los Angeles’ offense has put up 5.4 runs per outing, including 6.2 per game over its last 10 games and 7.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .275/.374/.573 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

First baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner have led the Dodgers’ batters this year. Bellinger is slashing .333/.430/.693 with 34 home runs, 77 RBIs, 77 runs and nine stolen bases, and Turner is hitting .294 with 12 homers, 39 RBIs and 54 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.92 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.27 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.81, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K-per-9 of 9.49.

The Marlins offense has slashed .241/.300/.362 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Miami’s hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas. Castro is slashing .249/.274/.352 with seven home runs, 40 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Rojas (.282/.339/.354) is up to one homers, 29 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

The Marlins have gained 0.8 units and are 16-9 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to nine that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have netted 9.8 units and are 36-31 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 31 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under.

Marlins vs. Dodgers Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in three of Miami’s last seven games.
  • The Marlins have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 23 over their last 10.
  • The Marlins have a team OPS of .662 this season, including an OPS of .673 against left-handed pitchers. The Dodgers’ OPS stands at .818 overall and .765 against southpaws.
  • Los Angeles has recorded 24.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.4 over its last five.