Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The ice-cold Atlanta Braves are trying to avoid losing their fifth consecutive game as they play host to the Miami Marlins at SunTrust Park. The game gets underway 7:35 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will televise the matchup.

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Atlanta (-175) is favored against Miami (+165) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the games total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds sitting at Marlins +1.5 runs (-135) and Braves -1.5 runs (+115).

The Braves are 54-47 straight up (SU) and 52-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 12.4 units for moneyline bettors while earning 0.8 units (ATS). The Marlins, on the other hand, are 45-61 SU and have gone 58-49 ATS. In total, the teams accumulated 6.5 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 2.2 units ATS.

Atlanta games have had an over/under record of 50-47-4 in 2018. Miami has been a decent over bet with a total record of 56-49-2.

Dan Straily is getting the start for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Straily is 4-4 with a 4.07 ERA and 69 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Atlanta this year (two starts).

The Braves are turning to righty Anibal Sanchez (5-3, 3.00 ERA), who has 74 strikeouts and 24 walks as well as a 1.09 WHIP. Sanchez has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

As a unit, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.71 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.25 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 45 divisional games, Braves starters have an ERA of 3.11 and the bullpens ERA is 2.89.

Atlanta’s offense has put up 4.8 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .229/.304/.380 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Nick Markakis has helped lead the Braves offense this year with 10 home runs, 62 RBIs and 57 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.57 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.72 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.15, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K-per-9 of 8.22.

The Marlins offense has slashed .244/.313/.365 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Miami’s offense has been paced by Starlin Castro. Castro is slashing .287/.336/.406 with eight home runs, 40 RBIs and 62 runs scored.

The Marlins just got a 2-1 victory over the Nationals, while the Braves are coming off of a 5-1 loss against the Dodgers.

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in three of Atlanta’s last seven games.
  • Both teams have hit eight home runs over their last 10 games.
  • The Miami defense has allowed two errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for Atlanta over its last 10.
  • The Braves have lost five of their last six games SU.