Louisville Cardinals vs. Boston College Eagles: College Football Free Betting Pick

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The Louisville Cardinals and Boston College Eagles are set to do battle on the turf at Alumni Stadium. This afternoon matchup is scheduled to get underway at 12:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to CHSS.

Betting Preview: Boston College Eagles vs. Louisville Cardinals


Louisville is playing the role of underdog and is currently getting 14 points in this ACC game. If they are wanting to play the moneyline, bettors would currently have to lay down $600 in order to win $100 back on the Eagles (-600). The Cardinals are getting +425 moneyline odds. There might be some decent in-game betting possibilities in this showdown.

The game’s opening line was originally set at -15 but early action has moved toward the Cardinals.

The Cardinals have lost 3.0 units so far and are 1-5 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 3-3.

The Eagles are down 1.4 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-2 ATS and own an O/U record of 4-2.

The Cardinals have gone just 2-4 straight up (SU), including 0-3 SU against ACC opponents. The Eagles are 4-2 SU overall and 1-1 SU in conference play.

The Cardinals lost to Georgia Tech 66-31 in a blowout where the Cardinals completed 27-of-44 passes for 370 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Jawon Pass went 23-for-35 for 299 yards and two touchdowns while Jordan Travis completed four-of-nine for 71 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Trey Smith (32 yards on five rush attempts, one TD) led the running attack in the loss while Hall (four receptions, 33 yards) and Chatarius Atwell (four catches, 79 yards, two TDs) shared the receiving duties.

One week ago, North Carolina State knocked off this Boston College team by a score of 28-23. The Eagles defense allowed the Wolfpack to pass for 308 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 225 yards and two scores. Kelvin Harmon had a productive showing, recording 128 yards on nine catches for North Carolina State. For Boston College, Anthony Brown completed 14-of-25 passes for 198 yards and one touchdown. Ben Glines (90 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) handled the ground attack in the defeat while Kobay White (four receptions, 46 yards) and Michael Walker (three catches, 72 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Louisville’s run the ball on 49.1 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 43.5 percent across possessions in conference play. Boston College has a rush percentage of 63.7 percent, and has kept it on the ground 58.0 percent of the time against ACC opponents. The Cardinals have produced 118.8 rush yards per game (including 98.0 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have six touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Eagles are averaging 222.8 rushing yards per game (170.0 in conference) and have 13 total rush TDs.

It appears that the Eagles may have the advantage in terms of efficiency in the ground game. Their backfield has generated 4.8 yards per carry while the defense has allowed 3.7 YPC to opponents. The Cardinals have registered 3.7 yards per carry while allowing 5.1 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Cards offense has averaged 221.3 yards through the air overall (274.7 per game against conference opposition) and has eight passing scores so far. The Eagles have put up 227.5 pass yards per contest (251 against ACC competition) and have 18 total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Louisville seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 231.0 rush yards and 182.8 pass yards per game. The Boston College defense has allowed 232.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 164.0 yards per game on the ground. The Eagles are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.37 to opposing QBs, while the Cardinals have given up an 8.35 ANY/A.

Offensively, Pass has amassed 753 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 55 percent of his 110 attempts with four scores through the air and five interceptions. He has a 4.75 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 6.51 over the past two games.

Jaylen Smith, Chatarius Atwell and Hassan Hall have collectively accounted for 392 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns as a trio over the last two outings.

Anthony Brown has connected on 60-of-100 passes for 920 yards, 11 TDs and four INTs for Boston College. His ANY/A stands at 8.37 for the year and 5.92 over his last two games.

Ben Glines (145 rushing yards, one rush TD, 106 receiving yards, three receiving touchdowns this season), AJ Dillon (652 rush yards, six rush TDs, one receiving TD) and Michael Walker (115 receiving yards) have combined for 481 total yards and five touchdowns over the past couple of games.

When these two teams met a year ago, Boston College won by a field goal 45-42.

Louisville Cardinals at Boston College Eagles Free NCAA Betting Tip

SU Winner: Boston College, ATS Winner: Boston College

Team Betting Trends

  • Each team has produced four pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Cardinals have have made nine pass plays of 30+ yards while the Eagles have created 11 such plays.
  • The Louisville defense has allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards, while Boston College has given up two such plays.
  • The Louisville offense has created four rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Boston College has created 16 such runs.
  • The Cardinals defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Eagles have given up five such runs.
  • The Boston College defense has registered triple the sack total of Louisville this year (18 to six).
  • Louisville, as a team, has rushed for 3.26666666666667 yards per attempt over its last three games and 3.7 over its last two.
  • Boston College has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.3 over its past two.
  • Over its last three contests, Boston College is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • Louisville was getting 6 points in its last game and the Over/Under was set at 56.5. The over cashed and Louisville failed to cover in the 66-31 loss to Georgia Tech.
  • In its last three matches, Louisville is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • Boston College was favored by 6 points in its last game and the O/U was set at 60. The under cashed and Boston College did not cover in the 28-23 loss to North Carolina State.