Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be squaring off against the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. This NL matchup is going to be nationally broadcasted on ESPN and the game gets underway 8:08 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals Odds

Los Angeles (-135) is favored over St. Louis (+125) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +110 for taking the Dodgers -1.5 runs and -130 for the Cardinals +1.5.

The Dodgers are 82-67 SU and are 65-83 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 25.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 18.4 units ATS. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 81-68 SU and 77-71 ATS. They’ve gained 2.1 units for moneyline bettors and 5.7 units ATS.

Cardinals games have an over/under record of 68-74-6 in 2018. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 69-73-6.

Right-hander Ross Stripling will get the nod for Los Angeles. Stripling is 8-3 with a 2.61 ERA and 125 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cardinals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Cardinals will turn to righty Adam Wainwright (1-3, 4.70 ERA) to the mound. Wainwright has 18 strikeouts and 14 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.74. Wainwright only made one start against the Dodgers in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and six strikeouts across six innings).

As a unit, St. Louis’ pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.46 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.39 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

St. Louis’ offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .223/.306/.319 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Cardinals’ offense has been led by outfielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez. Ozuna is hitting .277/.319/.430 with 21 home runs, 82 RBIs and 63 runs scored, and Martinez’s line sits at .301/.361/.449 with 16 homers, 80 RBIs and 57 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.26 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 9.54 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.77, along with a K-per-9 of 9.55.

The Dodgers offense has slashed .247/.332/.436 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 6.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

First baseman Cody Bellinger and right fielder Chris Taylor continue to lead Los Angeles’ hitters. Bellinger is hitting .260/.343/.472 with 23 home runs, 71 RBIs and 81 runs scored, while Taylor (.249/.326/.442) has produced 16 homers, 60 RBIs and 76 runs scored.

The Dodgers have lost 20.3 units and are 37-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 49 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 1.1 units and are 55-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 44 of those games, compared to 57 which went under the total.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in three of St. Louis’ last seven games.
  • Los Angeles has recorded 25.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 29.6 over its last five.
  • The Dodgers have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.