Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres are playing host to the Los Angeles Dodgers at PETCO Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego is in line to showcase the action.

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Odds

Los Angeles (-200) is the favorite against San Diego (+185) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Dodgers -1.5 runs (-140) and Padres +1.5 runs (+120).

The Padres are 7-11 SU and 8-10 ATS. The team has lost 1.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.5 units against the spread (ATS). San Diego has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Dodgers are 6-9 SU and have gone 5-10 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 8.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline through the early portions of the season and 5.2 units ATS. Los Angeles is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.

Padres games have an over/under record of 8-9-1 so far in 2018. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 8-7.

The left-handed Alex Wood is projected to start for the visiting Dodgers. Wood is 0-2 with a 5.09 ERA and 15 strikeouts. He has yet to face San Diego this year, but he did make three starts against the Padres in 2017, posting a 2-1 record against them with a 3.15 ERA and 17 strikeouts.

The Padres are putting the ball in the right hand of Bryan Mitchell (0-2, 5.27 ERA), who has three strikeouts and 14 walks this season as well as a 2.12 WHIP. Mitchell did not record a start against the Dodgers in 2017.

As a unit, San Diego’s pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 4.33 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.18, a WHIP of 1.01 and a K/9 of 10.3. In 12 divisional games, Padres starters have an ERA of 4.58 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.16.

San Diego’s hitters have put up 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .228/.309/.389 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Padres’ offense has been led by third baseman Christian Villanueva and outfielder Jose Pirela. Villanueva is hitting .333/.423/.822 with six home runs, 13 RBIs and eight runs scored, while Pirela is batting .308 with 24 hits, 10 RBIs and 12 runs.

For the visiting squad, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.51 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 10.21 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.40, along with a K/9 of 8.95.

The Dodgers offense has slashed .237/.309/.365 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Backstop Yasmani Grandal and left fielder Matt Kemp have led Los Angeles’ offense. Grandal is slashing .372/.460/.651 with three home runs, 10 RBIs and seven runs scored, while Kemp (.333/.391/.548) is up to two homers, seven RBIs and five runs scored.

The Dodgers have lost 8.4 units and are 2-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have netted 1.4 units and are 3-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in four of those games, as opposed to three that’ve cashed the under.

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Each team has hit 11 home runs over its last 10 outings.
  • The Los Angeles defense has allowed four errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for San Diego over its last 10.