Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres will play host to their NL West nemesis Los Angeles Dodgers at PETCO Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will showcase the action.

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Odds

Los Angeles (-160) is the favorite against San Diego (+150) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +105 for the over and -125 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Dodgers -1.5 runs (-110) and Padres 1.5 runs (-110).

The Padres are 7-11 SU and 8-10 ATS. They’ve lost 1.6 units for moneyline bettors and 4.5 units against the spread (ATS). San Diego has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, have gone 6-9 SU this year and are 5-10 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 8.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 5.2 units ATS. Los Angeles is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

San Diego games have had an over/under record of 8-9-1 so far in 2018. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 8-7.

The right-handed Kenta Maeda is the probable starter for Los Angeles. Maeda is 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA and 14 strikeouts. He has yet to face San Diego this year, but he made four starts against the team in 2017, posting a 1-2 record with a 5.85 ERA and 22 strikeouts.

The Padres will put the ball in the right hand of Luis Perdomo (1-1, 4.91 ERA), who has 13 strikeouts and seven walks this season as well as a 2.09 WHIP. Perdomo only made one start against the Dodgers in 2017 (0-1, 7.50 ERA across six innings).

As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have yielded 4.4 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.33 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.18, a WHIP of 1.01 and a K/9 of 10.3. In 12 games against NL West foes, Padres starters have an ERA of 4.58 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.16.

The San Diego hitters have put up 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .228/.309/.389 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Padres’ hitters have been led by third baseman Christian Villanueva and outfielder Jose Pirela. Villanueva is hitting .333/.423/.822 with six home runs, 13 RBIs and eight runs scored, and Pirela is batting .308 with 24 hits, 10 RBIs and 12 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.51 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 10.21 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.40, along with a K-per-9 of 8.95.

The Dodgers offense has slashed .237/.309/.365 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Los Angeles’ offense has been powered by catcher Yasmani Grandal and left fielder Matt Kemp. Grandal is slashing .372/.460/.651 with three home runs, 10 RBIs and seven runs scored, while Kemp (.333/.391/.548) has produced two homers, seven RBIs and five runs scored.

The Dodgers have lost 8.4 units and are 2-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, as opposed to two that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 3.0 units and are 5-6 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in four of those games, compared to six that went under the total.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Each team has hit 11 home runs over its last 10 games.
  • San Diego has recorded 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.4 over its last five.