Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Los Angeles Dodgers will play the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. NBC Sports Philadelphia will broadcast this NL matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Philadelphia (+120) as the underdog to Los Angeles (-130). Bettors are able to wager on the games total with odds posted at -105 for over 8.5 runs and -115 for under 8.5. You can also bet on the games runline with the current odds sitting at +115 for the Dodgers -1.5 runs and -135 for the Phillies +1.5.

The Phillies are 56-44 straight up (SU) and 45-54 against the spread (ATS). The teams gained 10.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 16.9 units (ATS). On the other hand, the Dodgers have gone 56-45 SU this year and are 45-55 ATS. In total, the teams lost 14.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.5 units ATS.

Phillies games have an over/under record of 43-51-5 in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 50-47-3.

Right-hander Walker Buehler is the projected starter for the visiting Dodgers. Buehler (4-2, 3.45 ERA) has racked up 59 strikeouts in 57.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Phillies will turn to righty Jake Arrieta (7-6, 3.47 ERA), who’s got 74 strikeouts and 36 walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Arrieta is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Los Angeles this year.

Los Angeles pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.35 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.57 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.76, along with a WHIP of 1.15.

Dodgers hitters have slashed .246/.328/.432 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Los Angeles offense has been sparked by outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor, who collectively have belted 29 home runs. Kemp is hitting .317/.360/.540 with 17 home runs, 63 RBIs and 47 runs scored, while Taylor (.256/.331/.461) has produced 12 homers, 48 RBIs and 59 runs scored.

For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.79 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Philadelphia offense has put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .234/.307/.443 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the Phillies batters this year. Herrera is hitting .278/.329/.468 with 18 home runs, 56 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Hernandez’s line is .265/.371/.374 with eight homers, 33 RBIs, 65 runs and 14 stolen bases.

The Dodgers have lost 11.6 units and are 28-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 39 of those games, as opposed to 23 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 7.3 units and are 34-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 32 of those games, as opposed to 40 that’ve cashed the under.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
  • Philadelphia has recorded 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.2 over its last five.
  • Both teams have hit 13 home runs over their last 10 games.