Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets Free Pick

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The Los Angeles Dodgers will head east to Citi Field to face the New York Mets. SportsNet New York will be airing this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets Odds

Oddsmakers are listing New York (+120) as the underdog to Los Angeles (-130). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over eight runs and -120 for under eight. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds coming in at Dodgers -1.5 runs (+115) and Mets +1.5 runs (-135).

The Dodgers are 95-53 SU and are 70-77 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 11.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having lost 9.2 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 76-70 SU and 74-71 ATS. The team’s lost 7.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.9 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

New York games have had an over/under record of 74-59-12 in 2019. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 67-70-10.

Clayton Kershaw will get the start for Los Angeles. The southpaw Kershaw (13-5, 3.06 ERA) has recorded 171 punchouts in 159 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against New York this year.

The Mets will be sending righty Noah Syndergaard (10-7, 4.06 ERA) to the hill. Syndergaard has 176 strikeouts and 44 walks to his credit, along with a 1.19 WHIP. Syndergaard is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA in one start against Los Angeles this year.

New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.90, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 5.13 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

New York’s offense is putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 6.3 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .301/.380/.639 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Shortstop Amed Rosario and outfielder Jeff McNeil have led the charge for the Mets’ hitters this year. Rosario is slashing .287/.324/.425 with 12 home runs, 60 RBIs, 69 runs and 17 steals, while McNeil’s line is .325/.394/.536 with 20 homers, 68 RBIs and 76 runs.

For the visitors, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.13 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 9.43 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.96, along with a K-per-9 of 9.34.

The Dodgers offense has slashed .258/.341/.475 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Los Angeles’ hitters have been paced by first baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner, who collectively have swatted 71 home runs. Bellinger is hitting .305/.408/.633 with 44 home runs, 107 RBIs and 111 runs scored, while Turner is hitting .291/.370/.514 with 27 homers, 67 RBIs and 80 runs scored.

The Dodgers have gained 14.4 units and are 53-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 45 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 7.4 units and are 19-17 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 18 that went under the total.

Dodgers at Mets Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in four of New York’s last seven games.
  • The Dodgers have a team OPS of .817 this season and an OPS of .818 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .774 overall and .762 against righties.
  • The Dodgers have won three of their last four games SU.
  • Los Angeles has posted 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.4 over its last five.
  • The Dodgers have hit 25 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 24 over their last 10.