Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres are set to play host to the Los Angeles Dodgers at Estadio de Beisbol Monterrey. Fox Sports San Diego will broadcast the action and the game is scheduled to get going at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Odds

Los Angeles (-175) is hosting this one as the favorite over San Diego (+165) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the games total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the current odds coming in at Dodgers -1.5 runs (-120) and Padres +1.5 runs (+100).

The Padres are 12-22 SU and 13-20 ATS. The teams lost 7.7 units for moneyline bettors and 12.8 units against the spread (ATS). San Diego has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 15-18 SU and have gone 12-20 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 13.9 units for moneyline gamblers in the seasons early going and 9.9 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Padres games have an over/under record of 15-16-2 so far in 2018. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 16-15-1.

Rich Hill is getting the nod for the visiting Dodgers. The left-handed Hill is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 16 strikeouts. He has yet to face San Diego this year, but he did make four starts against the team in 2017, posting a 3-0 record with a 1.08 ERA and 35 strikeouts.

The Padres are going with Eric Lauer (0-1, 10.13 ERA), who has 10 strikeouts and six walks to his credit, as well as a 2.38 WHIP. Lauer did not pitch in the majors last season.

As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 5.48, a WHIP of 1.66 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 3.33 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 25 divisional games, Padres starters have an ERA of 6.01 and the bullpens ERA is 2.87.

The San Diego offense has put up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .206/.297/.355 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Padres hitters have been led by third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer. Villanueva is slashing .277/.364/.617 with nine home runs, 20 RBIs and 17 runs scored, and Hosmer is hitting .293 with four homers, 10 RBIs and 17 runs.

Hosmer didn’t do as well hitting against left-handed pitchers at home in 2017, slashing .224/.274/.357 across 106 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .318/.385/.498).

For the visitors, Los Angeles pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.42 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.96 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.45, along with a WHIP of 1.15.

Dodgers hitters have slashed .244/.328/.398 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

Los Angeles hitters have been powered by left fielder Matt Kemp and catcher Yasmani Grandal. Kemp is hitting .330/.367/.549 with five home runs, 16 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Grandal (.275/.375/.480) is up to four homers, 21 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

The Dodgers have lost 2.5 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a -handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in two of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 0.4 units and are 5-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in seven of those games, as opposed to six that’ve gone under.

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Each team has hit eight home runs over its last 10 games.
  • Los Angeles has recorded 21.5 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.0 over its last five.