Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Los Angeles Dodgers will head east to Marlins Park to play the Miami Marlins. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will be televising this NL matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Vegas has listed Miami (+150) as the underdog to Los Angeles (-160). The total is sitting at 8 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -105 and the under for -115. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds standing at Dodgers -1.5 runs (-110) and Marlins 1.5 runs (-110).

The Marlins are just 14-26 SU and 20-20 ATS. They’ve lost 3.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.6 units against the spread (ATS). Miami has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 16-24 SU and have gone 13-27 ATS. In total, the teams lost 24.6 units for moneyline bettors in the seasons early going and 15.8 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Miami games have had an over/under record of 20-20 so far in 2018. Dodgers games have gone over 20 times, gone under 19 times and pushed on one occasion.

Alex Wood will get the nod for Los Angeles. The left-handed Wood is 0-3 with a 3.60 ERA and 42 strikeouts. He has yet to face Miami this year, but he did make two starts against the Marlins in 2017, putting together a 2-0 record against them with a 0.00 ERA and eight strikeouts.

The Marlins will turn to lefty Wei-Yin Chen (1-2, 10.22 ERA), who has six strikeouts and eight walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.95. Chen did not record a start against the Dodgers in 2017.

Los Angeles pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.58 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.94 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.51, along with a WHIP of 1.22.

The Dodgers offense has slashed .239/.322/.387 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.3 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

Backstop Yasmani Grandal and left fielder Matt Kemp have led Los Angeles offense. Grandal is hitting .275/.385/.500 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Kemp is hitting .317 with five homers, 17 RBIs and 13 runs scored.

Putting up a slash line of .143/.250/.238 across 48 plate appearances, Grandal didn’t seem to enjoy hitting against left-handed pitchers on the road last year (compared to his total season line of .247/.308/.459).

For the home team, Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.4 runs per game overall this year. The clubs starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.84, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 5.48 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

Miami’s offense is putting up 3.5 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .246/.319/.407 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

First baseman Justin Bour and catcher J.T. Realmuto have paced the Marlins hitters this year. Bour is hitting .235/.376/.461 with eight home runs, 21 RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Realmuto’s line is .302/.368/.523 with five homers, 10 RBIs and 14 runs.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .289/.366/.536, Bour seemed to have some trouble hitting lefties at home last year, slashing .233/.283/.465 over 46 such plate appearances.

The Dodgers have lost 2.9 units and are 6-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 0.9 units and are 6-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Dodgers have lost seven of their last eight games SU while the Marlins have lost six of their last seven SU.
  • Miami has recorded 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.4 over its last five.
  • Both teams have hit 10 home runs over their last 10 games.