Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Los Angeles Dodgers are heading east to face the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. This NL showdown will begin at 6:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio will broadcast the game.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds Odds

Vegas is listing Los Angeles (-160) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+150). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over nine runs and -110 for under nine. You can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -110 for the Dodgers -1.5 runs and -110 for the Reds +1.5 runs.

The Reds are 81-62 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 61-83 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 9.2 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 5.3 units (ATS). The Dodgers have gone 78-65 SU this year and are 61-81 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 25.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 20.3 units ATS.

Reds games have had an over/under record of 74-65-4 in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 66-71-5.

Alex Wood will get the nod for the visiting Dodgers. The left-handed Wood (8-6, 3.37 ERA) has recorded 125 punchouts in 144.1 innings so far. This is his first outing against Cincinnati this year. He made two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record with a 2.63 ERA and 12 strikeouts.

The Reds are handing the ball to lefty Cody Reed (0-2, 4.81 ERA), who has 19 strikeouts and eight walks, as well as a 1.44 WHIP. Reed did not record a start against the Dodgers in 2017.

As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.19, a WHIP of 1.45 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.21 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.

The Cincinnati offense has put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .273/.346/.447 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have led the Reds’ batters this year. Gennett is slashing .315/.361/.503 with 22 home runs, 84 RBIs and 82 runs scored, and Peraza’s line is .290/.329/.409 with 10 homers, 51 RBIs, 77 runs and 20 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.20 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 9.45 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.83, along with a WHIP of 1.12 and a K/9 of 9.54.

The Dodgers offense has slashed .245/.329/.432 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

First baseman Cody Bellinger and right fielder Chris Taylor continue to lead Los Angeles’ hitters. Bellinger is slashing .261/.342/.475 with 22 home runs, 65 RBIs and 77 runs scored. Taylor (.248/.324/.439) is up to 15 homers, 57 RBIs and 72 runs scored.

The Dodgers have lost 4.5 units and are 26-29 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Reds have netted 3.4 units and are 24-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 22 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in just two of Los Angeles’ last seven games.
  • Cincinnati has posted 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.4 over its last five.
  • Both teams have hit 14 home runs over their last 10 games.