Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs Free Pick

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Cody Bellinger and the Los Angeles Dodgers will be taking on the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field in a Thursday day game. NBC Sports Chicago will televise this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 2:20 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

The Dodgers are 15-11 SU and are 10-15 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 1.5 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going, despite having lost 4.0 units ATS. Los Angeles is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 12-10 SU and 10-11 ATS. The team has lost 1.8 units for moneyline bettors and 1.8 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Neither squad has been an obvious over/under bet this year. Chicago games have an 11-9-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Dodgers games have gone over 13 times, gone under 12 times and pushed on zero occasions.

Ross Stripling is getting the nod for the visiting Dodgers. The right-handed Stripling is 1-1 with a 3.07 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He has yet to face Chicago this year, but he made two starts against the Cubs in 2018, posting a 0-1 record against them with a 3.27 ERA and 11 strikeouts.

The Cubs will deploy lefty Jon Lester (1-0, 2.57 ERA) to the mound. Lester has 14 punchouts and six walks as well as a WHIP of 1.36. Lester made two starts against the Dodgers in 2018, putting together a perfect 2-0 record with a 1.50 ERA and five strikeouts.

Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.95 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 8.50 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.06, along with a K-per-9 of 8.78.

The Dodgers offense has slashed .260/.357/.477 on its way to 5.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Cody Bellinger and Corey Seager have led Los Angeles’ offense. Bellinger is hitting .424/.500/.891 with 12 home runs, 30 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Seager (.278/.375/.422) is up to two homers, seven RBIs and 16 runs scored.

For the home team, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.05 ERA, 1.62 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.

The Chicago hitters are putting up 5.6 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .219/.341/.391 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Javier Baez and right fielder Jason Heyward have led the way for the Cubs’ offense so far. Baez is slashing .312/.347/.656 with eight home runs, 21 RBIs and 20 runs scored, and Heyward’s line sits at .333/.450/.587 with five homers, 14 RBIs and 15 runs scored.

The Dodgers have lost 1.6 units and are 2-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in five of those games, as opposed to one that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 2.8 units and are 8-8 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in nine of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under.

Dodgers vs. Cubs Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in only two of Los Angeles’ last seven games.
  • The Dodgers have lost three of their last four games SU while the Cubs have won seven of their last eight.
  • Los Angeles has recorded 18.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.6 over its last five.
  • The Dodgers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 11 over their last 10.
  • The Dodgers have a total OPS of .835 this season and an OPS of .762 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Cubs’ OPS stands at .796 overall and .760 against southpaws.