Los Angeles Chargers vs. Tennessee Titans – Free Week 7 Betting Pick

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The Los Angeles Chargers (+1) are heading east to face the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium. Fans can catch the action live on CBS and kickoff is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Tennessee Titans vs. Los Angeles Chargers

In this Sunday AFC game, Tennessee has been labeled as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 1 point. The Chargers are also receiving -105 moneyline odds while the Titans are -115. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 38.5 points, and if one team catches a lucky break early, it will probably create a nice betting scenario in-game.

The game’s total was originally placed at 40.5, but the under has gotten most of the early sharp action.

The Chargers are down 4.7 units so far in 2019 and 2-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 1-5.

The Titans have lost 2.4 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-4 ATS and also have an O/U record of 1-5.

The Chargers are 2-4 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Titans are also 2-4 SU.

When these two squads met last year, Los Angeles earned the win 20-19.

Both teams enter this matchup on two-game losing skids. The Chargers lost to Pittsburgh 24-17 in a Week 6 matchup where the passing attack could’ve been better as Philip Rivers completed 26-of-44 passes for 320 yards, two scores and two interceptions. Melvin Gordon III (only 18 yards on eight rush attempts) led the ground attack while Hunter Henry (eight receptions, 100 yards, two TDs) and Mike Williams (five catches, 72 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Tennessee were just blanked 16-0 by Denver in Week 6. As a group, the team collectively completed 20-of-34 passes for 207 yards and three interceptions. Marcus Mariota went seven-for-18 for 63 yards and two interceptions while Ryan Tannehill was 13-of-16 for 144 yards and one interception. Derrick Henry (28 yards on 15 rush attempts) spearheaded the running attack as Adam Humphries (six receptions, 47 yards) and Corey Davis (three catches, 36 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Los Angeles has run the ball on 34.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tennessee has a rush percentage of 47.8 percent. The Chargers have rushed for 80.2 yards/game and have three scores on the ground this year. The Titans are logging 102.8 rushing yards per game and have four total rush TDs.

The Bolts offensive scheme has averaged 298.7 yards through the air overall and has nine passing TDs so far. The Titans have produced 220.5 pass yards per outing and have seven total pass scores.

Los Angeles should have an advantage when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents run for an average of 120.5 yards and pass for 213.3 yards per game. The Tennessee D has given up 238 yards per game to opposing passers and 104.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Titans are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.26 to opposing QBs, while the Chargers have given up a 7.08 ANY/A.

Offensively, Rivers is up to 1,574 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 67 percent of his 190 attempts with nine scores through the air and four interceptions. Rivers has a 7.48 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.16 over the past two games.

We expect the Los Angeles offense to mix it up in this one. As a group, Mike Williams, Austin Ekeler and Hunter Henry have combined for 367 total yards and two touchdowns over the last couple of outings.

Marcus Mariota has connected on 81-of-137 passes for 996 yards, seven TDs and two INTs for Tennessee. His ANY/A stands at 5.84 for the season and 2.42 over his past two games.

We also expect the Tennessee offense to spread things out this Sunday. As a trio, Derrick Henry, Adam Humphries and Jonnu Smith have combined for 253 total yards the last couple of outings.

Los Angeles Chargers at Tennessee Titans NFL Prediction

SU Winner: Titans, ATS Winner: Titans, O/U: Under

Betting Notes

  • The Chargers offense has produced two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Titans have put up six such plays.
  • Both teams have allowed two pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Los Angeles defense has given up eight pass plays of 30+ yards while Tennessee has given up five such plays.
  • The Los Angeles offense has created two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Tennessee has created one such runs.
  • The Chargers defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Titans have given up three such runs.
  • The Tennessee D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 18 times this season. Los Angeles has recorded just 12 sacks.
  • Los Angeles has averaged 2.3 yards per rush attempt across its last three contests and 2.2 over its last two.
  • Tennessee has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its last three games and 2.9 over its last two.
  • In its last three games, Tennessee is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Los Angeles’ previous game was set at 42.5. The under cashed in the team’s 24-17 defeat to Pittsburgh.
  • In its last three matches, Los Angeles is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
  • The O/U for Tennessee’s previous outing was set at 41. The under cashed in the 16-0 loss to Denver.
  • Los Angeles has lost five of its last six games SU, with a 20-point victory over Miami on September 29th accounting for the only win over that stretch.
  • Tennessee has lost five of its last six games SU, with a 14-point win over Atlanta on September 29th accounting for its one victory over that span.