Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Los Angeles Angels are set to face their division rival Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. The game gets underway 2:10 p.m. ET and ATTSN Southwest is in line to televise the matchup.

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Odds

Vegas has listed Houston (-220) as the favorite over Los Angeles (+200). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds posted at -120 for over 8 runs and even money (+100) for under 8. You can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -110 for the Angels +1.5 runs and -110 for the Astros -1.5.

The Astros are 97-57 straight up (SU) and 78-75 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 6.3 units for moneyline bettors and 4.8 units (ATS). Houston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Angels have gone 75-80 SU this year and are 70-84 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 10.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 25.1 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Astros games have an over/under record of 69-77-7 in 2018. Los Angeles has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 69-76-9.

Tyler Skaggs is getting the nod for the visiting Angels. The southpaw Skaggs is 8-8 with a 3.69 ERA and 126 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with four strikeouts and a 2.08 ERA against Houston this year (two starts).

The Astros will turn to righty Charlie Morton (15-3, 3.15 ERA), who has 195 strikeouts and 63 walks as well as a 1.17 WHIP. Morton is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA in one start against Los Angeles this year.

Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.34 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.73 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.99, along with a WHIP of 1.31.

Angels hitters have slashed .244/.316/.414 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Los Angeles’ hitters have been led by shortstop Andrelton Simmons and right fielder Mike Trout, who collectively have swatted 49 home runs. Simmons is slashing .298/.341/.426 with 11 home runs, 74 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while Trout is hitting .316 with 38 homers, 77 RBIs, 98 runs and 24 steals.

For the home team, Houston’s pitchers have yielded 3.3 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.17, a WHIP of 1.12 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.4. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 3.11, a WHIP of 1.08 and a K/9 of 10.7. In 75 divisional games, Astros starters have an ERA of 3.45 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.72.

The Houston hitters have put up 5.0 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .241/.326/.373 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Astros’ offense has been led by third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve. Bregman is slashing .289/.398/.538 with 30 home runs, 100 RBIs and 102 runs scored, while Altuve’s line is .317/.388/.458 with 13 homers, 60 RBIs, 82 runs and 17 stolen bases.

The Angels have gained 2.6 units and are 50-55 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 52 of those games, compared to 48 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 8.1 units and are 28-31 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 27 of those games, as opposed to 30 that’ve cashed the under.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • Los Angeles has recorded 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Houston has 11 XBH over its last five.
  • Los Angeles has recorded 17.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 16.4 over its last five.
  • The Angels have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 10 over their last 10.