Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Indians Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Los Angeles Angels are heading east to Progressive Field to play the Cleveland Indians. This AL matchup can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Angels at Cleveland Indians Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Cleveland (-235) as the favorite over Los Angeles (+215). Bettors are able to wager on the games total with odds listed at -115 for over 8.5 runs and -105 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds coming in at Angels +1.5 runs (-105) and Indians -1.5 runs (-115).

The Indians are 59-48 straight up (SU) and 52-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.8 units (ATS). Cleveland has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Angels are 54-56 SU and have gone 47-63 ATS. In total, the teams lost 11.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 24.1 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Indians games have had an over/under record of 55-48-4 in 2018. The Angels have been a decent under bet with a total record of 48-54-8.

Felix Pena is getting the nod for the visiting Angels. The right-handed Pena is 1-2 with a 5.23 ERA and 35 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Indians are sending righty Corey Kluber (13-6, 2.79 ERA) to the mound. Kluber has 139 punchouts and 19 walks to his credit, as well as a 0.94 WHIP. Kluber is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA in one start against Los Angeles this year.

Los Angeles pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.09 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.83 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.85, along with a WHIP of 1.28 and a K-per-9 of 8.94.

The Angels offense has slashed .246/.321/.419 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.8 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

Outfielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons continue to lead Los Angeles hitters. Trout is hitting .309/.459/.624 with 30 home runs, 60 RBIs, 82 runs and 21 steals, while Simmons (.304/.359/.427) is up to six homers, 49 RBIs and 52 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Cleveland’s pitchers have yielded 4.2 runs per game overall this year. The teams starters have a 3.46 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.98 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.

The Cleveland offense is putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .277/.354/.458 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez have paced the Indians hitters this year. Lindor is hitting .291/.371/.561 with 27 home runs, 67 RBIs, 92 runs and 16 steals, while Ramirez’s line is .301/.409/.631 with 32 homers, 78 RBIs, 77 runs and 25 steals.

The Angels have gained 4.0 units and are 39-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 36 of those games, as opposed to 38 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 17.4 units and are 36-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 40 of those games, compared to 35 which went under the total.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Indians Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in just two of Los Angeles last seven games.
  • Cleveland has posted 20.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.8 over its last five.
  • The Angels have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 13 over their last 10.