Los Angeles Angels at Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

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David Fletcher and the Los Angeles Angels will take the field against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre in a Thursday night game. RSN Sports will broadcast this AL matchup and the game gets underway at 7:07 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

The Blue Jays are only 26-48 straight up (SU) and 32-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 15.8 units ATS. On the other hand, the Angels have gone 38-37 SU this year and are 41-33 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 0.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have gained 8.7 units ATS.

Neither team has positioned itself as an obvious over/under bet this season. Toronto games have an over/under record of 34-36-3 thus far in 2019. The Angels have an over/under record of 33-34-7.

Jose Suarez will get the start for the visiting Angels. The southpaw Suarez is 2-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 13 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Blue Jays are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Clayton Richard (0-3, 7.52 ERA), who’s got 12 punchouts and 13 walks as well as a 1.77 WHIP. Richard only made one start against the Angels in 2018 (0-0, 2.25 ERA and two strikeouts across eight innings).

Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.46 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.25 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.55, along with a WHIP of 1.31 and a K/9 of 9.64.

Angels hitters have slashed .259/.340/.443 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game this year, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Los Angeles’ offense has been powered by David Fletcher and Mike Trout, who collectively have launched 27 home runs. Fletcher is slashing .297/.351/.423 with five home runs, 27 RBIs and 34 runs scored. Trout (.299/.462/.651) is up to 22 homers, 56 RBIs, 59 runs and seven steals.

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff has yielded 5.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.14, a WHIP of 1.50 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.42 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Toronto hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .222/.290/.461 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk have led the Blue Jays’ batters this year. Galvis is slashing .255/.292/.422 with 10 home runs, 30 RBIs and 32 runs scored, and Grichuk’s line sits at .217/.277/.406 with 13 homers, 28 RBIs and 35 runs.

The Angels have lost 7.8 units and are 13-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 0.5 units and are 11-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under.

Angels vs. Blue Jays MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in three of Los Angeles’ last seven games.
  • The Blue Jays have dropped five of their last six games SU.
  • Los Angeles has posted 23.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 28.0 over its last five.
  • The Angels have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
  • The Angels have a team OPS of .783 this season and an OPS of .745 against left-handed pitchers. The Blue Jays’ OPS sits at .675 overall and .681 against lefties.