Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners Free Pick

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Kansas City Royals will be squaring off against the Seattle Mariners in a Wednesday showdown. Fox Sports Kansas City will broadcast this AL showdown and the action gets underway at 6:40 p.m. ET.

Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners Odds

Seattle (-125) is hosting this one as the favorite over Kansas City (+115) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -180 for taking the Royals +1.5 runs and +160 for the Mariners -1.5 runs.

The Mariners are 38-38 against the spread (ATS), but only 31-46 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 9.3 units for moneyline bettors and 8.6 units ATS. The Royals are 25-48 SU and have gone 34-38 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 16.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 13.0 units ATS.

Seattle games have an over/under record of 51-21-4 so far in 2019. The Royals have an over/under record of 34-32-6.

Brad Keller will get the start for the visiting Royals. The right-handed Keller is 3-8 with a 3.97 ERA and 63 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 0.93 ERA and three strikeouts across 9.2 innings).

The Mariners are putting the ball in the left hand of Marco Gonzales (7-6, 4.50 ERA), who has 62 strikeouts and 27 walks this season as well as a 1.39 WHIP. Gonzales is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Kansas City this year.

As a unit, Seattle’s pitching staff has allowed 6.2 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 5.39 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.44 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

The Seattle offense is putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .234/.307/.368 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Mariners’ batters have been led by Domingo Santana and Edwin Encarnacion. Santana is slashing .272/.333/.459 with 13 home runs, 49 RBIs and 38 runs scored, and Encarnacion’s line is .241/.356/.531 with 21 homers, 49 RBIs and 48 runs.

For the visiting squad, Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.11 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.34 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.79, along with a WHIP of 1.42.

The Royals offense has slashed .244/.310/.405 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Whit Merrifield and shortstop Adalberto Mondesi have paced Kansas City’s offense. Merrifield is hitting .306/.353/.510 with 10 home runs, 39 RBIs, 52 runs and 11 steals. Mondesi is hitting .269/.302/.441 with six homers, 44 RBIs, 40 runs and 27 stolen bases.

The Royals have lost 2.4 units and are 10-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mariners have lost 2.5 units and are 28-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 35 of those games, as opposed to 15 that’ve gone under.

Royals at Mariners Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in six of Seattle’s last seven games.
  • The Royals have an OPS of .715 this season, including an OPS of .677 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Mariners’ OPS stands at .771 overall and .775 against lefties.
  • The Mariners have lost three of their last four games SU.
  • Seattle has recorded 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.2 over its last five.
  • The Royals have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.