Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Minnesota Twins will play host to their division rival Kansas City Royals at Target Field. The matchup will get underway at 2:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Kansas City to catch the game.

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins Odds

Minnesota (-145) is favored over Kansas City (+135) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this day game at 9 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). You can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds standing at -160 for the Royals +1.5 runs and +140 for the Twins -1.5.

The Royals are 34-76 SU and have gone 50-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 26.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 18.4 units ATS. The Twins, on the other hand, are 51-58 SU and 60-48 ATS. The teams lost 10.0 units for moneyline bettors while earning 9.4 units ATS.

Twins games have an over/under record of 51-54-3 in 2018. The Royals have been a good under bet with a total record of 46-57-6.

Left-hander Danny Duffy is getting the nod for the visiting Royals. Duffy is 7-9 with a 4.50 ERA and 120 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 17 strikeouts and a 0.95 ERA against Minnesota this year (three starts).

The Twins are sending righty Ervin Santana (0-0, 6.10 ERA) to the mound. Santana has six strikeouts and three walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.55. Santana has yet to face the Royals this year, but he made four starts against them in 2017, posting a 2-1 record with a 5.25 ERA.

As a unit, Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 4.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.30 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.65 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 41 divisional games, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.25 and the bullpens ERA is 2.86.

The Minnesota hitters have produced 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .259/.343/.405 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Eddie Rosario has helped lead the Twins offense this season with 20 home runs, 66 RBIs and 72 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.31 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.40 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.41, along with a K/9 of 7.12.

The Royals offense has slashed .240/.303/.373 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Whit Merrifield has led Kansas City’s offense and is hitting .301/.370/.424 with six home runs, 35 RBIs, 53 runs and 25 stolen bases.

The Twins are looking for another victory after an 8-2 win in the prior game of the series.

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in only two of Minnesota’s last seven games.
  • The Royals have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit six over their last 10.
  • The Kansas City defense has allowed zero errors over its last five games, compared to three errors for Minnesota over its last five.