Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians Matchup

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Whit Merrifield and the Kansas City Royals will head east to Progressive Field to square off against their division rival Cleveland Indians. Fox Sports Kansas City will broadcast the matchup and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians Odds

Kansas City (+145) is the underdog to Cleveland (-155) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at nine runs (-140 for the over and +120 for the under). There’s a runline of Royals +1.5 (-150) and Indians -1.5 (+130) for this matchup.

The Royals are only 27-51 SU and have gone 37-40 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.8 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 42-35 SU and 36-40 ATS. They’ve lost 4.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.5 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Cleveland games have an over/under record of 32-42-2 so far in 2019. The Royals have an over/under record of 36-34-7.

Brad Keller will get the start for Kansas City. The right-handed Keller is 3-9 with a 4.45 ERA and 68 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 1.35 ERA against Cleveland this year.

The Indians will send righty Adam Plutko (3-1, 4.55 ERA) to the hill. Plutko has 22 strikeouts and three walks to his name as well as a 1.12 WHIP. Plutko hasn’t faced the Royals yet this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 6.75 ERA and nine strikeouts across 6.2 innings).

Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.04 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 7.34 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.80, along with a K-per-9 of 8.91.

Royals hitters have slashed .245/.310/.403 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Whit Merrifield and shortstop Adalberto Mondesi have paced Kansas City’s offense. Merrifield is slashing .302/.349/.498 with 10 home runs, 39 RBIs, 55 runs and 11 steals, while Mondesi is hitting .269 with six homers, 44 RBIs, 40 runs and 27 steals.

For the home team, Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have a 4.18 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.26 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 30 games against AL Central opponents, Indians starters have an ERA of 4.13 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.80.

Cleveland’s hitters have produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .280/.345/.484 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

First baseman Carlos Santana and shortstop Francisco Lindor have paced the Indians’ batters this year. Santana is slashing .293/.416/.541 with 17 home runs, 47 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Lindor’s line is .291/.355/.504 with 12 homers, 27 RBIs, 38 runs and 11 stolen bases.

The Royals have lost 13.6 units and are 25-29 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 26 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 8.4 units and are 23-29 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 31 that went under the total.

Royals vs. Indians MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • Each teams has logged 15 extra-base hits over its last five outings.
  • The Indians have won five of their last six games SU.
  • Cleveland has posted 28.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.8 over its last five.
  • The Royals have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 17 over their last 10.
  • The Royals have an OPS of .714 this season and an OPS of .730 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS sits at .723 overall and .732 versus righties.