The San Jose State Spartans (3-22, 0-14 MWC), who are currently on a 14-game losing streak, look to get back in the win column when they head to Lawlor Events Center to meet the No. 20 Nevada Wolf Pack (23-5, 12-2 MWC). Nevada is a 22-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 150 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 21, 2018, and it can be seen on ESPN 3.
San Jose State Spartans at Nevada Wolf Pack ATS Preview
The Spartans lost to the Wyoming Cowboys in their last matchup, 89-75. With 26 points on 10-for-17 shooting, Keith Fisher III was the top scorer from either team. Wyoming had an effective field goal percentage of 0.623 (above their season average of 0.503). San Jose State, on the other hand, held the Cowboys to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.2 (below the 24.9 mark opponents have averaged against San Jose State this season).
In the Wolf Pack’s last matchup, they defeated the Utah State Aggies, 93-87. Nevada rallied around Cody Martin, who was the team’s high scorer with 30 points on 13-for-18 shooting. The Wolf Pack, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.548, had an extraordinary mark of 0.694 and had a free throw rate of 0.333 (above their season average of 0.300).
Nevada could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their prolific offense squares off against one of the worst defenses in the NCAA. The Wolf Pack rank 14th in offensive efficiency, while San Jose State ranks 275th in defensive efficiency.
Of San Jose State’s 24 games that accepted bets, 14 have finished under the projected point total, while 14 of Nevada’s 27 games have finished over the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Wolf Pack have a significant advantage. They are 23-5 SU and 14-12-1 ATS, while the Spartans are 3-22 SU and 11-13 ATS.
These teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined to put up 125 points, well under the projected point total of 142. The Wolf Pack won 71-54, but were unable to cover as 17.5-point favorites. The Wolf Pack dominated every facet of the game. They had an absurd free throw rate of 0.385 and a turnover percentage of 16.0. For those same stats, the Spartans recorded marks of 0.088 and 21.2, respectively. Caleb Martin was the game’s top overall scorer with 24 points.
San Jose State Spartans vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Betting PredictionPrediction: SU Winner – Nevada, ATS Winner – San Jose State, O/U – Under
- The Spartans rank 35th in rebounds allowed per game (31.8) while the Wolf Pack rank 173rd (35.3).
- Nevada ranks 84th in blocks per game (3.8) while San Jose State ranks 88th in blocks allowed per game (3.2).
- San Jose State is 5-8 ATS on the road with 7 unders and 6 overs.
- At home, Nevada is 7-5 ATS with 6 overs and 6 unders.
- Nevada averages 16.3 assists per game, which ranks 33rd in the NCAA. San Jose State ranks 247th in assists allowed per game (16.0).
- The Wolf Pack rank 88th in three pointers attempted per game (23.7) while the Spartans rank 301st (15.6).
- Nevada ranks seventh in steals allowed per game (4.5) while San Jose State ranks 212th (7.6).
- Nevada is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in their last five games.
- Over their last five games, San Jose State is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Wolf Pack’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.4, down from 11.3 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Spartans have scored an average of 69.2 points per game (2.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 80.6 points per game (5.0 above their season average).