Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts: Free Week 4 Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Football, NFL

The Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts are set to collide indoors at Lucas Oil Stadium. The opening kickoff for this game is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can watch the action on CBS.

Week 4 Betting Preview: Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

This Sunday AFC game showcases the Texans as the dogs and they’re currently receiving 3 points. The Texans are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Colts are -140. If one team can create a bunch of points early it will produce a nice live betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 47.5 points.

Odds have shifted slightly from where they were first posted. The line opened at -2 while the game’s O/U was set originally at 47.

The disappointing Texans are 0-3 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 5.1 units so far. The team has recorded an Over-Under mark of 1-2.

The Colts are down 0.2 units this season. The team is 2-1 ATS and also has an O/U record of 1-2.

The Texans have gone 0-3 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against AFC South opponents. The Colts are 1-2 SU overall and 0-0 SU against divisional foes.

The Texans fell to the Giants 27-22 in a Week 3 game where their defense allowed the Giants to run for 114 yards on 27 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. On the offense, Deshaun Watson completed 24 passes for 385 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Lamar Miller (10 yards on 10 rush attempts) led the ground attack. DeAndre Hopkins (six receptions, 86 yards) and Miller (five catches, 41 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Indianapolis just fell 20-16 to Philadelphia last week. Andrew Luck completed 25-of-40 passes for 164 yards and one touchdown. Jordan Wilkins (19 rushing yards on six attempts) spearheaded the running game while T.Y. Hilton (five receptions, 50 yards) and Eric Ebron (five catches, 33 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.

Houston has run the ball on 42.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Indianapolis has a rush percentage of 33.5 percent. The Texans have produced 124.7 rush yards per game (including 148.0 per game against South opponents) and have only one score on the ground this year. The Colts are totaling 82.3 rush yards per game and have only one rushing TD.

Based on the early season results, it appears the Texans should have an advantage when it comes to RB effectiveness. Their backfield has generated 4.7 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 3.7 to opponents. The Colts have registered 3.9 yards per carry and given up 4.1 YPC to opponents.

The Texans offense has averaged 290.3 yards in the air overall (310.0 per game against conference opposition) and has five passing TD so far. The Colts have put up 220.7 pass yards per game and also have five total pass score.

Houston has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 112.0 yards and pass for 255.0 yards per game. The Indianapolis D has allowed 263.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 106.0 yards per game on the ground. The Colts are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.74 to opposing QBs, while the Texans have given up an 8.35 ANY/A.

Offensively, Watson has put up 561 passing yards this season. He’s completed 41-of-74 attempts with three scores through the air and two interceptions. Watson’s got a 6.20 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 8.19 over the last two games.

For the home team, Andrew Luck has completed 64-of-93 passes for 483 yards, three TDs and one INT. Luck’s ANY/A stands at a less-than-stellar 4.75 for the season and 3.89 over his past two games.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts Free NFL Tip

SU Winner: Colts, ATS Winner: Colts, O/U: Over

Betting Notes

  • The Colts have made zero pass plays of 30+ yards while the Texans have accounted for five such plays.
  • The Houston defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while Indianapolis has given up zero such plays.
  • Both defenses have produced one rushing play of 20 yards or more. The Houston offense has recorded 13 running plays of 10+ yards while Indianapolis has accounted for six such plays.
  • The Texans defense has allowed one rushing play of 20+ yards, while the Colts have given up two such runs.
  • The Indianapolis defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 10 times this season. Houston has registered seven sacks.
  • As a team, Houston has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last two contests.
  • Indianapolis has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last two.
  • Over its last three contests, Indianapolis is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • Houston was favored by 7 points in its last game and the O/U going into it was 44. The over cashed and Houston did not cover in the 27-22 defeat to the Giants.
  • Over its last three games, Houston is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • Indianapolis was favored by 7 points in its previous game and the Over/Under was 45. The under cashed and Indianapolis failed to cover in the team’s 20-16 loss to Philadelphia.