Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz ATS Prediction

Jose VasquezArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Houston Rockets (2-1) will travel to Vivint Smart Home Arena to challenge the Utah Jazz (1-2) in game four of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Jazz opened as 5.5-point underdogs. The games Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 208.5 points and it can be seen on TNT at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday, May 6, 2018.

Houston Rockets vs. Utah Jazz Betting Odds

In game three, Harden led the Rockets to a 113-92 win. He notched a double-double with 25 points and 12 assists. Houston covered as a 4.5-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 205 points, which was just under the projected point total of 209.5. The Rockets 7.8 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Jazz, who had a rate of 15.0.

This contest figures to be low-scoring as a pair of the NBA’s premier defenses face off. Utah currently ranks first in defensive efficiency (102.3) and Houston is fifth (104.3). Also, the Rockets commit the fourth-fewest errors in the NBA (turnover percentage of 12.9 percent), while the gambling defense of the Jazz causes the fifth-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 14.5 percent).

Rockets games have typically gone under the total (55.6 percent). Houston heads into the contest with records of 71-19 straight up (SU) and 46-42-2 against the spread (ATS).

Coinciding with Houston, just over half of Jazz games have finished under the O/U total. Further, Utah is 53-38 SU and 47-44 ATS.

Clint Capela has been playing at a high level as of late for Houston, averaging 16.8 points, 13.2 rebounds and 1.8 blocks over the last five games.

Houston Rockets vs. Utah Jazz ATS Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

    The Jazz rank second in second chance points allowed per game (10.9) while the Rockets rank seventh (11.6).

    Utah ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.7) while Houston ranks 27th (48.1).

    The Jazz rank third in fast break points allowed per game (10.0) while the Rockets rank 15th (11.8).

    Houston averages 17.1 points off turnovers per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Utah ranks 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.8).

    Houston ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.3) while Utah ranks 11th (4.7).

    The Rockets rank fifth in steals per game (8.5) while the Jazz rank 25th in steals allowed per game (8.4).

    The Jazz rank first in assists allowed per game (19.8) while the Rockets rank 11th (22.4).

    Utah ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (41.9) while Houston ranks sixth (42.2).

    Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (42.1) while Utah ranks 13th (29.6).

    Utah is 37-7 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Houston is 35-3.

    The Jazz are 43-13 when they reach 100 points, while the Rockets are 68-14.

    Utah is 24-21 ATS at home, while Houston is 26-17-1 ATS on the road.

    In 44 road games, the Rockets have 26 unders, 17 overs and 1 push.

    In 45 home games, the Jazz have 27 unders and 18 overs.

Betting Trends:

    The Rockets are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Jazz are 1-4.

    In their last five games, Houston has 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push, while Utah has 3 unders, 1 over and 1 push.

    During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 114.4 points per game (2.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 101.6 points per game (2.1 below their season average).

    The Jazz have been outscored by an average of 6.0 points in their last five games. For the season, Utah has defeated opponents by an average of 3.9 points.