Houston Rockets at Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Prediction

Jose VasquezArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Minnesota Timberwolves (0-2) will be 5-point underdogs at home in game three of the First Round of the Western Conference Playoffs when they go head-to-head with the Houston Rockets (2-0). The games Over/Under (O/U) opened at 214.5 points and it will air on ESPN at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, April 21, 2018.

Houston Rockets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Odds

In game two, Paul led the Rockets to a 102-82 victory. He was the games top overall scorer with 27 points. Houston covered as a 10.5-point favorite and the two teams combined for 184 points, which was well under the projected point total of 216. The Rockets turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Timberwolves. Houston had a rate of 7.9, while Minnesota posted a mark of 15.2.

This matchup pits one of the NBA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Minnesota currently ranks fourth in offensive efficiency and Houston ranks fifth in defensive efficiency.

Of the Rockets 84 games, 49 have finished under the total. Houston comes into the game with records of 67-17 straight up (SU) and 42-40-2 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Houston, just over half of Timberwolves games have finished over the total. Further, Minnesota is 47-37 SU and 39-42-3 ATS.

Houston Rockets at Minnesota Timberwolves Free Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Timberwolves rank third in rebounds allowed per game (41.9) while the Rockets rank sixth (42.2).
  • Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (42.4) while Minnesota ranks last (22.5).
  • The Timberwolves rank first in steals allowed per game (6.5) while the Rockets rank 10th (7.4).
  • Houston ranks 16th in fast break points per game (11.4) while Minnesota ranks 25th (9.7).
  • Minnesota ranks fifth in points off turnovers per game (17.4) while Houston ranks 11th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.6).
  • The Timberwolves rank fourth in points in the paint per game (49.1) while the Rockets rank 28th (40.8).
  • The Timberwolves rank 19th in assists per game (22.6) while the Rockets rank 27th (21.5).
  • Minnesota averages 13.5 second chance points per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Houston ranks ninth in second chance points allowed per game (11.9).
  • Houston ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while Minnesota ranks 15th (4.8).
  • Minnesota is 19-4 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Houston is 33-3.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Rockets are 64-12 and the Timberwolves are 44-23.
  • Houston is 24-16-1 ATS on the road, while Minnesota is 21-19-1 ATS at home.
  • In 41 road games, the Rockets have 25 unders, 15 overs and 1 push.
  • Of the Timberwolves 41 home games, they have 24 overs, 16 unders and 1 push.

Bettings Trends:,

  • The Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Rockets are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Minnesota has 4 unders and 1 over, while Houston has 5 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 104.2 points per game (4.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 100.4 points per game (6.8 below their season average).
  • The Rockets average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.0, down from 8.5 for the season.