Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Houston Astros are making a road trip to Seattle to face their division rival Mariners at Safeco Field. The game gets underway 10:10 p.m. ET and ATTSN Southwest will showcase the matchup.

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Odds

Houston (-120) is favored over Seattle (+110) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds standing at +125 for the Astros -1.5 runs and -145 for the Mariners +1.5.

The Mariners are 61-43 straight up (SU) and 52-52 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 13.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 4.0 units (ATS). Seattle has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Astros are 67-39 SU and have gone 53-53 ATS. In total, the teams lost 5.3 units for moneyline bettors and 6.2 units ATS. Houston is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

Mariners games have an over/under record of 49-53-2 in 2018. Astros games have gone under 52 times, gone over 48 times and pushed on six occasions.

Right-hander Gerrit Cole is the probable starter for Houston. Cole is 10-2 with a 2.54 ERA and 186 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Seattle this year.

The Mariners will turn to lefty James Paxton (8-4, 3.70 ERA), who’s got 155 strikeouts and 33 walks to his credit as well as a 1.09 WHIP. Paxton is 2-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 1.32 ERA over two starts against Houston this year.

Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.02 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 10.36 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.27, along with a WHIP of 1.09.

Astros hitters have slashed .257/.334/.428 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).

Houston’s offensive production has been fueled by second baseman Jose Altuve and third baseman Alex Bregman, who have combined to belt 31 home runs. Altuve is hitting .329/.392/.464 with nine home runs, 46 RBIs, 64 runs and 14 steals, while Bregman is hitting .280 with 22 homers, 70 RBIs and 71 runs scored.

For the home team, Seattle’s pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.88 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 38 divisional games, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.28 and the bullpens ERA is 4.53.

The Seattle hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .244/.305/.431 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Mariners hitters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Dee Gordon. Segura is hitting .317/.347/.446 with seven home runs, 49 RBIs, 68 runs and 15 stolen bases, and Gordon’s line is .290/.309/.354 with 113 hits, 22 RBIs, 47 runs and 24 stolen bases.

The Astros have lost 8.6 units and are 17-22 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 18.6 units and are 35-35 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in 37 of those games, compared to 32 that went under the total.

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in only two of Seattle’s last seven games.
  • The Astros have lost four of their last five games SU while the Mariners have dropped three of their last four.
  • Seattle has posted 18.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.0 over its last five.
  • The Astros have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit nine over their last 10.