Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Houston Astros will pay a visit to Seattle to take on their divisional rival Mariners at Safeco Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and ATTSN Southwest will televise the matchup.

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Seattle (+115) is coming into this one as the underdog against Houston (-125) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total sit at -115 for the under and -105 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +120 for the Astros -1.5 runs and -140 for the Mariners +1.5 runs.

The Astros have gone 67-39 SU this year and are 53-54 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.3 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 61-43 SU and 53-52 ATS. The teams gained 14.6 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.0 units ATS. Seattle has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Seattle games have an over/under record of 50-53-2 in 2018. Houston has an over/under record of 48-53-6.

The right-handed Charlie Morton will get the nod for Houston. Morton is 11-2 with a 2.89 ERA and 151 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Seattle this year.

The Mariners are handing the ball to righty Mike Leake (8-6, 4.15 ERA), who has 77 strikeouts and 29 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.30. Leake is 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 7.50 ERA in one start against Houston this year.

Seattle’s pitching staff has yielded 4.3 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.13, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.88 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 38 divisional games, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.28 and the bullpens ERA is 4.53.

The Seattle hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .244/.305/.431 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Mariners batters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon. Segura is slashing .317/.347/.446 with seven home runs, 49 RBIs, 68 runs and 15 stolen bases, while Gordon’s line sits at .290/.309/.354 with 113 hits, 22 RBIs, 47 runs and 24 steals.

In the other dugout, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.02 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 10.36 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.27, along with a WHIP of 1.09 and a K-per-9 of 10.75.

Astros hitters have slashed .257/.334/.428 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).

Second baseman Jose Altuve and third baseman Alex Bregman continue to lead Houston’s hitters. Altuve is hitting .329/.392/.464 with nine home runs, 46 RBIs, 64 runs and 14 steals, while Bregman is hitting .280/.386/.535 with 22 homers, 70 RBIs and 71 runs scored.

The Astros have gained 3.3 units and are 36-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 19.7 units and are 36-35 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 32 that went under the total.

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in four of Seattle’s last seven games.
  • The Astros have lost four of their last five games SU while the Mariners have dropped three of their last four.
  • Seattle has recorded 18.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.0 over its last five.
  • The Astros have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit nine over their last 10.