Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Houston Astros will be taking on the Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. WGN will be televising this AL matchup and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox Odds

The Astros are 14-7 SU and have gone 10-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline through the early part of the year and 1.9 units ATS. Houston is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 4-12 SU and 6-9 ATS. They’ve lost 7.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.0 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

White Sox games have an over/under record of 8-7 so far in 2018. The Astros have been a decent under bet with a total record of 7-13.

Dallas Keuchel is getting the nod for the visiting Astros. The left-handed Keuchel is 0-3 with a 3.52 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He has yet to face Chicago this year, but he did make two starts against the White Sox in 2017, posting a 0-2 record against them with a 9.00 ERA and nine strikeouts.

The White Sox will turn to righty Lucas Giolito (0-2, 5.50 ERA), who’s got eight strikeouts and 12 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.39. Giolito only made one start against the Astros in 2017 (0-1, 2.70 ERA and three strikeouts across six and 2-third innings).

Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 6.4 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.99, a WHIP of 1.61 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 5.9. The bullpen has a 5.81 ERA, 1.68 WHIP and 10.6 K/9.

Chicago’s hitters have produced 3.9 runs per contest, including 2.6 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .199/.260/.271 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that span.

Matt Davidson and Jose Abreu have paced the White Sox batters this year. Davidson is slashing .216/.365/.529 with five home runs, 11 RBIs and 10 runs scored, and Abreu’s line sits at .273/.342/.500 with 18 hits, nine RBIs and nine runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .304/.354/.552, Abreu enjoyed hitting against lefty pitching in 2017, producing .356/.402/.631 across 164 plate appearances.

For the visiting squad, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 2.6 runs per game and its starters own a 2.15 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 11.52 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.75, along with a WHIP of 1.02.

Astros hitters have slashed .249/.333/.393 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).

Shortstop Carlos Correa and catcher Brian McCann have led Houston’s offense. Correa is slashing .319/.369/.569 with four home runs, 17 RBIs and 14 runs scored, while McCann (.359/.490/.487) has produced one homers, five RBIs and nine runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .241/.323/.436, McCann enjoyed hitting against righties on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .269/.348/.522 across 155 such plate appearances.

The Astros have lost 3.8 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 1.9 units and are 2-2 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The overs hit in three of those games, compared to one that went under the total.

Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – White Sox, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The White Sox have lost 10 of their last 11 games SU.
  • Houston has recorded 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.4 over its last five.
  • The Astros have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.