Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The struggling Chicago White Sox will try to avoid losing their seventh in a row they play host to the Houston Astros at Guaranteed Rate Field. WGN will be televising this AL matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 2:10 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox Odds

Houston (-225) is hosting this one as the favorite over Chicago (+205) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the odds sitting at -150 for the Astros -1.5 runs and +130 for the White Sox +1.5 runs.

The White Sox are just 4-13 SU and 6-10 ATS. The team has lost 8.1 units for moneyline bettors and 6.0 units against the spread (ATS). Chicago has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Astros are 15-7 SU and have gone 11-10 ATS. In total, the teams lost 0.4 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the season and 0.9 units ATS. Houston’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Chicago games have had an over/under record of 9-7 so far in 2018. The Astros have an over/under record of 8-13.

Lance McCullers Jr. will get the nod for Houston. The right-handed McCullers Jr. is 2-1 with a 5.57 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He has yet to face the White Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The White Sox are sending righty Reynaldo Lopez (0-2, 1.42 ERA) to the mound. Lopez has 21 strikeouts and 11 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.00 WHIP. Lopez did not record a start against the Astros in 2017.

As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 6.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starters have a 6.80 ERA, 1.71 WHIP and 5.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.35 ERA, 1.62 WHIP and 10.4 K/9.

The Chicago hitters have put up 3.7 runs per outing, including 2.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The teams hit .203/.275/.297 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

The White Sox batters have been led by Jose Abreu and Matt Davidson. Abreu is hitting .275/.351/.493 with 19 hits, nine RBIs and nine runs scored, and Davidson is hitting .204 with five homers, 11 RBIs and 10 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 2.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.12 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 11.41 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 2.61, along with a K-per-9 of 9.87.

Astros hitters have slashed .254/.340/.402 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 5.8 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 8.0 per game over the teams last five outings (5-0 SU).

Houston’s offensive production been powered by shortstop Carlos Correa and left fielder Josh Reddick, who have combined to swat 10 home runs. Correa is slashing .333/.386/.573 with four home runs, 18 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Reddick is slashing .267/.380/.583 with six homers, 15 RBIs and 14 runs scored.

The Astros have lost 2.8 units and are 6-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 6.2 units and are 4-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in six of those games, as opposed to six that’ve cashed the under.

Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Astros have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • Chicago has posted 15.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.8 over its last five.
  • The White Sox have lost 11 of their last 12 games SU.