Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Houston Astros will make a road trip to Baltimore to play the Orioles at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising this AL matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

The Orioles are 46-112 straight up (SU) and 64-92 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 54.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 41.1 units (ATS). Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Astros have gone 100-58 SU this year and are 82-75 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 2.3 units for moneyline bettors and 0.8 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Baltimore games have an over/under record of 70-81-5 in 2018. Houston has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 70-79-8.

The right-handed Gerrit Cole is getting the start for the visiting Astros. Cole is 15-5 with a 2.92 ERA and 272 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Orioles will put the ball in the right hand of David Hess (3-10, 5.14 ERA), who’s got 70 strikeouts and 35 walks this season as well as a 1.43 WHIP. Hess did not pitch in the majors last season.

Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.20 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.38 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.00, along with a K-per-9 of 10.65.

Astros hitters have slashed .256/.333/.427 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Houston’s hitters have been led by third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve, who collectively have launched 44 home runs. Bregman is slashing .289/.395/.538 with 31 home runs, 103 RBIs and 104 runs scored, while Altuve (.314/.385/.451) is up to 13 homers, 61 RBIs, 84 runs and 17 steals.

For the home team, Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 5.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 5.56 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.82 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

The Baltimore offense is putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .269/.338/.445 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Adam Jones and Trey Mancini have led the Orioles’ hitters this year. Jones is slashing .281/.313/.419 with 15 home runs, 62 RBIs and 54 runs scored, and Mancini’s line sits at .244/.302/.422 with 24 homers, 57 RBIs and 68 runs.

The Astros have gained 4.8 units and are 53-44 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 49 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 49.5 units and are 40-65 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 47 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve gone under.

Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in three of Baltimore’s last seven games.
  • Houston has posted 22 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24 over its last five.
  • The Astros have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 12 over their last 10.