Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners will play host to the Houston Astros at Safeco Field. ATTSN Southwest will be airing the matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Houston (-175) is coming into this one as the favorite against Seattle (+165) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Astros -1.5 runs (-120) and Mariners +1.5 runs (+100).

The Mariners are 9-7 SU and 11-4 ATS. They’ve gained 4.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.7 units against the spread (ATS). Seattle has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Astros have gone 12-7 SU this year and are 8-10 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 3.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 4.0 units ATS. Houstonhas covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Mariners games have a 9-6 over/under record so far in 2018. The Astros have been a decent under bet with a total record of 5-13.

Charlie Morton will get the nod for the visiting Astros. The right-handed Morton is 2-0 with a 1.00 ERA and 25 strikeouts. He has yet to face Seattle this year, but he made four starts against the Mariners in 2017, putting together a 1-2 record against them with a 3.80 ERA and 22 strikeouts.

The Mariners are sending lefty Marco Gonzales (1-1, 8.25 ERA) to the mound. Gonzales has 11 strikeouts and two walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.75. Gonzales did not record a start against the Astros in 2017.

As a unit, Seattle’s pitching staff has yielded 4.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 5.14, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In six divisional games, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.80.

Seattle’s hitters have produced 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .208/.250/.371 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Robinson Cano and right fielder Mitch Haniger have led the Mariners’ batters so far. Cano is hitting .327/.470/.462 with 17 hits, six RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Haniger is batting .259 with four homers, 15 RBIs and seven runs.

Cano especially enjoyed hitting against righty pitching at home last season. Across 214 such plate appearances, he slashed .321/.393/.542 (compared to his overall season line of .280/.338/.453).

In the visiting dugout, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 2.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.39 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 11.80 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.67, along with a WHIP of 1.06 and a K/9 of 10.00.

Astros hitters have slashed .239/.325/.370 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Houston’s offensive production been powered by catcher Brian McCann and shortstop Carlos Correa. McCann is hitting .351/.467/.486 with 13 hits, four RBIs and seven runs scored, while Correa is hitting .297/.351/.484 with 19 hits, two homers, 13 RBIs and 12 runs scored.

Correa performed well against lefty pitching on the road last season. Over 59 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .407/.458/.630 (compared to his total season line of .315/.391/.550).

The Astros have gained 1.4 units and are 4-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 1.1 units and are 6-4 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in seven of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under.

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Astros have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 13 over their last 10.
  • Seattle has recorded 19.1 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 games and 16.2 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have lost three of their last four games SU.