Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Free Pick

The Seattle Mariners are playing host to their AL West foe Houston Astros at Safeco Field. The action will get underway at 10:10 p.m. ET and ATTSN Southwest will televise the game.

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Vegas is listing Seattle (+110) as the underdog to Houston (-120). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over eight runs and -120 for under eight. The game’s current runline odds stand at +125 for taking the Astros -1.5 runs and -145 for the Mariners +1.5 runs.

The Astros are 10-6 SU and have gone 7-8 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline this year and 2.5 units ATS. The Mariners are 8-5 SU and 9-3 ATS. They’ve gained 5.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.7 units ATS.

Seattle games have an over/under record of 9-3 so far in 2018. The Astros have an over/under record of 5-10.

The Astros just dropped a 3-1 game to the Rangers, while the Mariners are coming off of a 2-1 loss against the Athletics.

Dallas Keuchel will get the start for Houston. The southpaw Keuchel is 0-2 with a 4.20 ERA and 13 strikeouts. He has yet to face Seattle this year, but he did make three starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 3-0 record with a 1.31 ERA and 13 strikeouts.

The Mariners will put the ball in the left hand of James Paxton (0-1, 5.74 ERA), who’s got 21 strikeouts and six walks as well as a 1.40 WHIP. Paxton made four starts against the Astros in 2017, putting together a 2-1 record with a 1.69 ERA and 20 strikeouts.

As a unit, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 5.51 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.02 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In three games against divisional foes, Mariners starters have an ERA of 5.17 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.97.

Seattle’s hitters have put up 4.8 runs per outing, including 6.0 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .266/.344/.491 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Mariners’ hitters have been led by Robinson Cano, who is slashing .375/.537/.475 with 15 hits, four RBIs and 12 runs scored. Cano didn’t perform very well against lefty pitching at home last season, slashing .198/.243/.292 in 103 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .280/.338/.453).

For the visitors, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.1 runs per game and its starters own a 2.66 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 12.45 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 2.88, along with a K-per-9 of 9.72.

Astros hitters have slashed .240/.327/.371 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Houston’s hitters have been spearheaded by Josh Reddick. Reddick is slashing .308/.438/.564 with 12 hits, seven RBIs and eight runs scored.

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in five of Seattle’s last seven games.
  • The Astros have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
  • Seattle has recorded 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.0 over its last five.
  • The Astros have lost four of their last five games SU.