Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Houston Astros will play their AL West rival Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. ATTSN Southwest is in line to broadcast the matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Odds

Vegas is listing Seattle (+155) as the underdog to Houston (-165). Bettors are able to gamble on the game’s total with odds listed at -105 for over 8.5 runs and -115 for under 8.5. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -115 for the Astros -1.5 runs and -105 for the Mariners +1.5.

The Mariners are 9-5 SU and 11-3 ATS. The team has gained 5.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.7 units against the spread (ATS). Seattle has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Astros are 10-7 SU and have gone 7-10 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 4.3 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 5.0 units ATS. Houstonhas covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Seattle games have an over/under record of 9-5 so far in 2018. The Astros have been a decent under bet with a total record of 5-12.

Right-hander Lance McCullers Jr. will get the start for the visiting Astros. McCullers Jr. is 1-1 with a 7.71 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He has yet to face Seattle this year, but he did make four starts against the team in 2017, posting a 2-0 record with a 3.86 ERA and 24 strikeouts.

The Mariners are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Ariel Miranda (0-0, ERA), who has zero strikeouts and zero walks to his name, as well as a WHIP. Miranda did not record a start against the Astros in 2017.

Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.63 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 12.01 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 2.88, along with a K-per-9 of 9.72.

The Astros offense has slashed .233/.321/.362 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Left fielder Josh Reddick and shortstop Carlos Correa have led Houston’s hitters. Reddick is slashing .300/.429/.550 with 12 hits, seven RBIs and eight runs scored, while Correa has a .273 average with 15 hits, two homers, 12 RBIs and 12 runs scored.

Maintaining a slash line of .407/.458/.630 across 59 plate appearances, Correa performed well against lefties on the road last year (his total season line was .315/.391/.550).

For the home team, Seattle’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.18, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 3.78 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In four divisional games, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.15 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.14.

The Seattle offense is putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .255/.309/.467 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Mariners’ hitters have been led by second baseman Robinson Cano and right fielder Mitch Haniger. Cano is hitting .341/.500/.432 with 15 hits, four RBIs and 12 runs scored, and Haniger’s line is .271/.379/.542 with four homers, 15 RBIs and seven runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .280/.338/.453, Cano performed well against righties at home in 2017, slashing .321/.393/.542 over 214 such plate appearances.

The Astros have gained 0.5 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 2.1 units and are 6-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in seven of those games, as opposed to two which went under the total.

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The Astros have lost five of their last six games SU while the Mariners have won five of their last six SU.
  • Seattle has recorded 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.6 over its last five.
  • The Astros have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.