Houston Astros at New York Yankees Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Yankees will play host to the Houston Astros at Yankee Stadium. This AL matchup can be viewed across the country on ESPN and the opening pitch is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees Odds

Houston (+155) is entering this game as the underdog against New York (-165) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -140 for the Astros +1.5 runs and +120 for the Yankees -1.5.

The Astros are 35-21 SU and are 31-24 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.7 units for moneyline bettors and 5.6 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 34-17 SU and 26-24 ATS. The teams gained 7.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.

New York games have an over/under record of 28-20-2 so far in 2018. The Astros have been a good under bet with a total record of 20-32-3.

Southpaw Dallas Keuchel is projected to start for the visiting Astros. Keuchel is 3-6 with a 3.39 ERA and 53 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against New York this year.

The Yankees are sending righty Luis Severino (7-1, 2.28 ERA) to the hill. Severino has 81 strikeouts and 20 walks to his name, as well as a 1.00 WHIP. Severino is 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA across one starts against Houston this year.

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 4.14, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 3.38 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 12.1 K/9.

The New York hitters have put up 5.7 runs per contest, including 5.8 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The teams hit .229/.301/.404 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Aaron Judge and Miguel Andujar have led the Yankees batters this year. Judge is slashing .288/.422/.586 with 15 home runs, 40 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while Andujar is hitting .297 with five homers, 18 RBIs and 26 runs.

Judge seemed to take a step back when hitting left-handed pitchers in 2017. In 155 plate appearances, he slashed .230/.439/.496 (his overall season line was .284/.422/.627).

In the visiting dugout, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 2.8 runs per game and its starters own a 2.48 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 10.44 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.02, along with a WHIP of 0.97.

Astros hitters have slashed .258/.333/.420 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.6 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 7.2 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Houston’s hitters have been powered by second baseman Jose Altuve and right fielder George Springer. Altuve is slashing .332/.379/.467 with four home runs, 29 RBIs, 33 runs and six stolen bases, while Springer (.287/.348/.493) is up to 11 homers, 34 RBIs and 42 runs scored.

The Astros have gained 4.2 units and are 22-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 5.9 units and are 9-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.

Houston Astros at New York Yankees Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Astros have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
  • Houston has posted 27.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 28.8 over its last five.