Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins Free Pick

The Minnesota Twins are playing host to the Houston Astros at Target Field. Fox Sports North will be showing this AL matchup. The game is slated to get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins Odds

Oddsmakers have offered equal -110 moneyline odds on both of these teams. Bettors can wager on the games total with odds sitting at -110 for over 8.5 runs and -110 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds coming in at Astros -1.5 runs (-160) and Twins +1.5 runs (+150).

The Twins are 4-3 SU and 6-1 ATS. They’ve gained 0.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.3 units against the spread (ATS). The Astros have gone 8-2 SU this year and are 5-4 ATS. Overall, the teams gained 2.5 units for moneyline gamblers in the seasons early going and 0.1 units ATS.

Twins games have a 3-4 over/under record so far in 2018. The Astros have an over/under record of 3-6.

The Astros just got a 4-1 victory over the Padres, while the Twins are coming off of an 11-4 loss against the Mariners.

Justin Verlander (1-0, 2.31 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Astros. The right-handed Verlander struck out 219 hitters over 206 innings last year (33 starts) while finishing the season 15-8 overall with a 3.36 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP.

The Twins have tabbed righty Lance Lynn (0-1, 11.25 ERA) as their starter. Lynn started 33 games last year and finished the season 11-8 overall with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP.

Minnesota’s pitching staff has allowed 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.29, a WHIP of 1.15 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 4.01 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.

The Minnesota hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .249/.319/.486 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Miguel Sano has helped lead the Twins offense this season with eight hits, eight RBIs and seven runs scored. Sano did not seem to enjoy hitting against right-handed pitching at home in 2017, slashing .228/.323/.371 over 192 such plate appearances (his total season line was .264/.352/.507).

In the other dugout, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 2.5 runs per game and its starters own a 1.83 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 11.14 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 2.32, along with a WHIP of 1.14.

Astros hitters have slashed .251/.336/.410 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the teams last five outings (4-1 SU).

Houston’s offense has been spearheaded by Josh Reddick. Reddick is slashing .346/.452/.692 with nine hits, seven RBIs and six runs scored.

Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Astros went 5-1 SU against the Twins last season.
  • The Astros have won seven of their last eight games SU.
  • The Astros bullpen managed an ERA of 3.63 against the Twins last year.