Houston Astros at Cleveland Indians Free Pick

The Houston Astros will be facing off against the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. This AL matchup will get going at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to SportsTime Ohio.

Houston Astros at Cleveland Indians Odds

Vegas has listed Houston (-115) as the favorite over Cleveland (+105). Gamblers can bet on the games total with odds listed at +105 for over 8 runs and -125 for under 8. You can also bet on the games spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at +130 for the Astros -1.5 runs and -150 for the Indians +1.5.

The Indians are 25-25 SU and 20-29 ATS. They’ve lost 11.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.8 units against the spread (ATS). Cleveland has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Astros are 34-19 SU and have gone 30-22 ATS. In total, the teams gained 3.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.3 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Indians games have a 26-22-1 over/under record thus far in 2018. Houston has been a good under bet with a total record of 18-31-3.

Gerrit Cole is getting the start for Houston. The right-handed Cole is 5-1 with a 1.86 ERA and 101 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Indians are sending righty Trevor Bauer (4-3, 2.35 ERA) to the mound. Bauer has 73 strikeouts and 23 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.15. Bauer made two starts against the Astros in 2017, putting together a spotless 2-0 record with a 5.40 ERA.

Houston’s pitchers have allowed 2.6 runs per game and its starters own a 2.44 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 10.44 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.63, along with a WHIP of 0.97 and a K-per-9 of 9.85.

Astros hitters have slashed .260/.336/.419 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.8 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 8.0 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).

Second baseman Jose Altuve and right fielder George Springer continue to lead Houston’s offense. Altuve is hitting .321/.369/.447 with three home runs, 26 RBIs, 30 runs and six stolen bases, while Springer has a .298 average with 11 homers, 34 RBIs and 40 runs scored.

Altuve performed well against righty pitching on the road last year. Over 248 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .393/.460/.680 (his overall season line was .345/.409/.547).

In the other dugout, Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starters have a 3.39 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.14 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

The Cleveland offense has put up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The teams hit .269/.346/.421 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez have led the Indians hitters this year. Lindor is slashing .292/.366/.545 with 12 home runs, 27 RBIs, 39 runs and five stolen bases, while Ramirez line is .291/.391/.593 with 14 homers, 35 RBIs, 32 runs and seven steals.

The Astros have gained 5.4 units and are 21-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 21 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 12.4 units and are 11-19 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 14 which went under the total.

Houston Astros at Cleveland Indians MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Houston has posted 24.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 30.0 over its last five.
  • The Astros have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 11 over their last 10.