Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Houston Astros will make a road trip to Seattle to face their divisional rival Mariners at Safeco Field. The matchup will get going at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to ATTSN Southwest to catch the game.

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Vegas has listed Houston (-170) as the favorite over Seattle (+160). The total sits at eight runs and bettors can wager on either the over or the under for -110. Runline odds sit at -120 for betting the Astros -1.5 runs and +100 for the Mariners +1.5 runs.

The Mariners are 71-54 straight up (SU) and 62-62 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 4.5 units (ATS). Seattle has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Astros have gone 75-49 SU this year and are 61-62 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 13.8 units for moneyline bettors and 7.2 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Mariners games have an over/under record of 60-62-2 in 2018. Astros games have gone under 64 times, gone over 52 times and pushed on seven instances.

Right-hander Gerrit Cole will get the nod for the visiting Astros. Cole is 11-5 with a 2.71 ERA and 219 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with 18 strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Seattle this year (three starts).

The Mariners will turn to righty Felix Hernandez (8-11, 5.62 ERA) to the mound. Hernandez has 101 strikeouts and 48 walks to his name, as well as a 1.43 WHIP. Hernandez has yet to face the Astros this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record with a 4.09 ERA and 12 strikeouts.

Seattle’s pitchers have yielded 4.5 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 4.27 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.05 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 52 games against AL West opponents, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.30.

The Seattle hitters have put up 4.1 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .203/.250/.305 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Mitch Haniger have led the charge for the Mariners’ batters this year. Segura is hitting .314/.343/.437 with nine home runs, 56 RBIs, 78 runs and 17 stolen bases, while Haniger’s line sits at .276/.363/.471 with 19 homers, 78 RBIs and 62 runs scored.

For the visitors, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.11 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.37 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.07, along with a K-per-9 of 10.86.

The Astros offense has slashed .254/.330/.429 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Houston’s offensive production has been sparked by second baseman Jose Altuve and third baseman Alex Bregman, who have combined to blast 33 home runs. Altuve is hitting .329/.392/.464 with nine home runs, 46 RBIs, 64 runs and 14 steals, while Bregman (.280/.384/.522) has produced 24 homers, 77 RBIs and 80 runs scored.

The Astros have lost 2.6 units and are 40-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 32 of those games, as opposed to 39 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 17.0 units and are 41-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 44 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve cashed the under.

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • Houston has logged 21 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Seattle has 10 XBH over its last five.
  • Houston has recorded 19.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.2 over its last five.
  • The Astros have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.